April 2012 Visa Bulletin Predictions
- EB3- China could advance to 08 February 2005
- EB3 – ROW, EB3-Philippines, and EB3-Mexico could advance to 08 April 2006.
- EB2 will be current for ROW, Mexico and Philippines.
- EB3-India could advance to 01 September 2002.
- EB2-India and EB2-China could see 0 months - 3.5 months movement in coming bulletin. Movement in coming months solely depends on how demand for last two visa bulletin. has picked up so far. If January and February bulletin demand for EB2-IC has bloomed as we expected (i.e. based on trackitt trend), then we may not see any substantial movement. Any withered demand means few months movement for EB2-IC.
At this time based on current demand, everyone with PD until October-November
2008 should feel good about receiving green card this fiscal year. This is all based on
receiving 30K spillover including annual quota from EB1, EB2-ROW and EB5, which looks plausible. based on current demand. Dates might not retrogress
in this bulletin. We may expect stall or retrogression in May-June VB.
Note – Predictions
are based on educated guess and is not guaranteed. Please take it with a grain
of salt.
and other is 1/24/2011
and other is Mar 2011
i just want to know based on this how the moment will be.
The NVC reciepts will be only sent when they predict that , those dates will be current by DOS right? and the NVC reciepts will be expired in one year , so can we assume that this dates will be current by end of this year....your analysis on this will be apprciated...please reply back to this post...
When you say " we may expect stall or retrogression in May-June visa bulletin", does this applies to all category including EB3? Or you are just referring to the EB2? Thanks. Please reply
I have a feeling that DOS is looking at different emerging data than what public data we have in different forums. If this is not so, then they could be getting ready to consume max visa through CP for this FY on account of slow processing by USCIS. In which case, we should see big movements in May and June VB.
CM please opine on first para above. We want to benefit from your insights and data analysis.
is it possible that spillovers go to eb3 ?
Our PD is June 2008. We are filing for I485 by end of this month. When do you think we will get our GC in hand. We are hoping by August 2012. Do you agree??
thanks,
amtrackitt
What percent H.R3012 will be possibly passed?
my priority date is may 15 2006 eb3-p. what are my chances for a green card this year, if hr 3012 becomes a law?
thank you for this great website.
The possibility of retrogression in may-June vb also applies to eb3? Or you are referring to eb2 only? Do we expect 3-4 weeks movement of eb3 until the end of FY 2012? Thanks so much. I'll be waiting for your reply.
my pd is sept 2006 EB3.. what are the chances that my status will be current this year? thank you!
my pd is sept 2006 under eb3 phil. what are my chances of making it to the USA this year? thanks!
My date is 2010 july 22 , any chance in april bulletin
My PD is April26th 2006 ROW?When should i be current?
Thanks
Shiv
Appreciate your response
Do you mean its effective date will be the next year or the next fiscal year?
I need your hep in an immigration matter. I am a physician in H 4 status currently...My I-485 based on my husband's employment based 485 is pending with uscis..The USCIS received date at TSC was Dec 1st, 2011. I received my EAD/AP combo card few weeks ago. My fingerprinting has not yet been done and i took an infopass appoitment for next Friday to ask IO about fingerprinting and hoping it will be done then. Now, I am starting a new job with a university on July 1st. They are applying for my change of status from H 4 to H 1 B. This is a cap exempt university job. I think that's going to be an I-539 application H 4 to H1 B change which will be sent in March 1st week for start date of July 1st..I have advance parole as per the card i received. Please ignore the EAD as i dont plan to use it for employment since it depends on GC approval/denial and i cant risk my job with the university.
MY QUESTION : CAN I TRAVEL IN APRIL AND MAY TO INDIA? Will the H1 B application be considered abandoned if i leave the country? Can I leave the country after decision on H 1 B application and before start date of the job?? what importance does the advance parole have in my case??
Please give your expert opinion as this seems complicated.
Thank you all.
I need your hep in an immigration matter. I am a physician in H 4 status
currently...My I-485 based on my husband's employment based 485 is
pending with uscis..The USCIS received date at TSC was Dec 1st, 2011. I
received my EAD/AP combo card few weeks ago. My fingerprinting has not
yet been done and i took an infopass appoitment for next Friday to ask
IO about fingerprinting and hoping it will be done then. Now, I am
starting a new job with a university on July 1st. They are applying for
my change of status from H 4 to H 1 B. This is a cap exempt university
job. I think that's going to be an I-539 application H 4 to H1 B change
which will be sent in March 1st week for start date of July 1st..I have
advance parole as per the card i received. Please ignore the EAD as i
dont plan to use it for employment since it depends on GC
approval/denial and i cant risk my job with the university.
MY QUESTION : CAN I TRAVEL IN APRIL AND MAY TO INDIA? Will the H1 B
application be considered abandoned if i leave the country? Can I leave
the country after decision on H 1 B application and before start date of
the job?? what importance does the advance parole have in my case??
Please give your expert opinion as this seems complicated.
Thank you all.
Thanks for your efforts in replying !
when you say ""Personally, I believe most of the 2011 cases can expect some action in FY 2013 and best case late in FY 2012. "
my PD is Sep 2010, EB2-I. Can I expect to be current in FY2012 or early Fy2013. i,e before Dec 2012.
Just wondering !!
Thanks Again
Thanks for the great support you've been giving all of us. I have a question regarding my I485 . I apologize i know its not a right place(APR Visa Bulletin) to ask.
I have become current in JAN'2012. My Employer filed concurrent filing for me in last week of JAN. I havent received the RECEIPT for my I485. Any suggestions would greatly help me. I'm really worried as all my friends who are current in FEB Visa Bulletin got their I485 receipt
Thanks
Shashi
Thanks for the great support you've been giving all of us. I have a
question regarding my I485 . I apologize i know its not a right
place(APR Visa Bulletin) to ask.
I have become current in JAN'2012. My Employer filed concurrent filing
for me in last week of JAN. I havent received the RECEIPT for my I485.
Any suggestions would greatly help me. I'm really worried as all my
friends who are current in FEB Visa Bulletin got their I485 receipt
Thanks
Shashi
Thanks in advance...
My pd is aug. 3 ,2006 eb3 row. Please according to your prediction, when will I be current? Thanks so much
I would like to ask if my PD will be current next month, what are the requirements/documents needed for me to prepare. My PD is March 27, 2006.
Hope to hear from you. Thank you so much for helping all of us.
Now assuming you haven't filled your I-485 yet here are some links that will help you. First one is from USCIS and other two are from renown immigrantion sites. Hope it helps.
USCIS
http://www.uscis.gov/files/form/i-485instr.pdf
Murthy.com
http://www.murthy.com/news/n_docgat.html
ImmigrationRoad.com
http://immigrationroad.com/green-card/i-485-documents-checklist.php
Hope it helps.
You might get current in 2012 but most likely it will be in next fiscal year of USICS. In case you don't know USCIS fiscal year runs from October - September each year. The projected estimate for this fiscal year for EB3 ROW, Mexico and Philipines is August 2006. While there is a slim chance that you might get current in this fiscal year but if not you should be current by the end of 2012.
Hope this helps.
Can i change my case to it ?
I am EB3Row with pd oct 2006.
thanks
Thanks for the all answers. I really like your site and i was looking around for some questions but i couldn't see what i was looking for thats why i would like to ask now..My PD is May 5, 2006 (ROW EB-3 ALL)...As i learn from your website it might take 2-3 more bulletin to be current.Here is the question,
1.How long time does it take to get GC after PD current?
2.Will the bill H.R. 3012 effect my case incase it passes the US Senate and ultimately become a law? Thank you in advance and looking forward to hearing from you soon.Jaya
I was browsing the USCIS website and have noticed that according to the THE OPERATION OF THE IMMIGRANT
NUMERICAL CONTROL SYSTEM file of USCIS
Only persons with a priority date earlier than a cut-off date are entitled to allotment of a visa
number. The cut-off dates are the 1st, 8th, 15th, and 22nd of a month, since VO groups demand
for numbers under these dates. (Priority dates of the first through seventh of a month are grouped
under the 1st, the eighth through the fourteenth under the 8th, etc.) number. The cut-off dates are the 1st, 8th, 15th, and 22nd of a month, since VO groups demand
for numbers under these dates. (Priority dates of the
first through seventh of a month are grouped
under the 1st, the eighth through the fourteenth under
the 8th, etc.)
I'm not sure if my understanding is correct, but I think if my PD is April 10, 2006 then I'm included in the predicted April 8, 2006 cutoff for EB3Ph April 2012 VB? the statement indicated that PD of 1-7 are grouped to the 1st day of the month cutoff.. then 8-14 are grouped to 8th of the month and so on... However, they have precisely noted that "Only persons with a priority date earlier than a cut-off date are entitled to allotment of a visa
number." hmm quite confusing, please enlighten me. Thank you
"We do not have any updates on next month movement but we are filing cases in large number every month since last couple of months, more than we ever completed in previous month. Things really picked three- four fold since last week of January for EB2-India & China. I believe dates will cease to move forward for EB2-India & China in next bulletin. At most, similar movement as seen in last bulletin can be expected. We do not expect retrogression until May-June visa bulletin. We are hoping stall upto July-August 2012.
On your question on receiving visa bill fee from NVC for EB2 with PD 2011, we would like to confirm that we have seen couple requests for our clients with similar priority dates. Most are for late 2010 and early 2011. In past we have seen such request for cases with priority date later than 2007 for EB3 Category. Obviously those dates are not current for so long. It may be as you suggested that National Visa Center is getting ready for next year or worst scenario if dates have to be progressed drastically late in year.We have seen such request to pay fees for all kind of categories regularly. If dates will move this far it will just be based on low demand at USCIS as majority of use for EB2 comes from cases filed via AOS in US. Kind of cases we are filing I do not feel demand should be that low but I cannot say for other firms. "
Thanks
Just registered here and thanks for a very informative site for immigrants like us whose so hungry about information. Beats almost all sites. :) Anyway, a question here was overlooked by you or havent answered yet, yet I would like to follow it up as I'm curious to know also as I'm almost near current, question:
1. After PD is current how long before we could see, feel or know our case been reviewed or touched. (i.e. like receving letter of approval, welcome letter, rfe's, etc.)
2. And how long or how much time does it take to get GC (in hand) after PD current?
Thank you very much CM and good luck to us all!
my POD is Oct 14 2010 , Is there any change i can become current in next i.d April 2012 bulliten.
Thanks for your reply
EB2
My PD is Feb, 2011. When will current for my case?
thanks.
http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf
EB3-ROW-M-P will moved as predicted by 3 weeks. Good Luck.
One qq CM.. in the 485 stage, there are three different applications that are filed. right ?
One is for EAD, one is 485 and one for GC.. irrespective of time taken for GC, one should get the EAD in 2-3 months timespan. is that correct ? please guide.
thanks
guys, its a immigration forum.. don't spill ur beans here..
EAD & AP would come in 2 months. 485 could take whatever time based on visa numbers etc.. please confirm this is valid.
I've been waiting for last 4.5 years for it get current :-(
Hope this answers your question.
EAD relieves you off employer dependency and AP relieves you off the vias stamping hastle.. of course, its always good to have the GC in hand, which might have its own advantages; but please correct me if any of my understanding is wrong.
From Demand Data other things that can be deduced are
1)
For EB3 India from last demand data to this numbers has
reduced by 850. Out of these only 225 are reduced from PD 2002 and other 625
cases are from later PD. This suggests that EB3 to EB2 Porting is happening but
there is no rumpus about it because of huge movement for EB2-India & China.
2)
EB3-ROW-M-P has consumed atleast 2285 visa since last
month, though numbers look less than total visas available we know constantly
cases for later PD are added to the inventory.
3)
It seems that there atleast 35 CP cases from January
2010 to January 2012, who has received notices from NVC to pay fees and
currently eligible. We will know soon what is cooking in Mr. O’s mind.
-----No Moment for EB2 India & Chinna
FB1 ROW - 1Apr 05
FB2A ROW- 8Oct 09
FB2B ROW 15 Jan 04
FB3 ROW 15 Feb 02
EB1 Current
EB2 ROW Current OTHERS – 01 May 10
EB3 ROW-M-P 08 Apr 06 China-1Mar05 India- 01Sep02
EB4 Current
EB5 Current
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Priority_date
i called that number; its just ringing.
---
one qq based on this scenario CM:-
q1>Can you confirm on my below assumption, which i mentioned in one of my comment yesterday
"EAD relieves you off employer dependency and AP relieves you off the vias stamping hastle.. "
q2> Since april bulletin was first bulletin of 3rd quarter and assuming Mr. O thought he moved the dates by a good amount of 2.8 yrs since the annual quota opened up in Oct 2011.
typically there is some movement in first bulletin of 4th quarter i.e. month of July. But do you think the 2.8 yr movement would consume the annual quota + spill over quota for EB2 India; based on your educated guess or would there be any movement scope OR is it a long wait till Oct 2012 again?
can we expect any movement (1-2 months), in the 3rd quarter bulletins ?
Please guide.
thanks
tracking page. i guess based on the voice recording you mentioned
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...
i called that number; its just ringing.---one qq based on this scenario CM:-q1>Can you confirm on my below assumption, which i mentioned in one of my comment yesterday"EAD relieves you off employer dependency and AP relieves you off the vias stamping hastle.. "
q2> Since april bulletin was first bulletin of 3rd quarter and
assuming Mr. O thought he moved the dates by a good amount of 2.8 yrs
since the annual quota opened up in Oct 2011; could there be anymore possible movement till Oct 2012?
typically there is
some movement in first bulletin of 4th quarter i.e. month of July, for any spillover quota. But
do you think the 2.8 yr movement would consume the annual quota + spill
over quota for EB2 India; based on your educated guess?
OR
would there be
any movement scope OR is it a long wait till Oct 2012 again?
can we expect any movement (1-2 months), in the leftover 3rd quarter bulletins ?
Please guide. thanks
q2> Possible if will ONLY happen could be in August-Sep 2012 to use some visas for CP cases. 35 CP cases per current demand data are too less to use any visas. Based on number of application they have or will receive upto March VB, demand shuold be enough for this year and there should not be any movement until FY 2013. It is going downhill from here. Lets see what notes has Mr. O. left for this visa bulletin.
When can I expect the GC?
Thanks in advance for your time.
Refer below link: http://murthy.com/visadate.html
http://allott.com/visa-bulletins/february-2012-visa-bulletin.pdf
The Department of State has available a recorded message with visa availability information that can be heard at 202.663.1541. This recording will be updated in the middle of each month with information on cutoff dates for the following month.
Thanks in advance
Do you think Mr. O still pondering on dates ?
OR is this just a usual logistics delay to put the date values in the pdf file and upload it to the bulletin site ?
Sorry, tough luck this time!
Unfortunately the phone numer that CM has provided belongs to the Department of State so the information is accurate and will not change.
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabulletin/visabulletin_April2012.pdf
CHINA-MAINLAND BORN FAMILY FOURTH PREFERENCEIn recent months we have been experiencing very heavy applicant demand in the China-mainland born Family Fourth preference category. Based on the current rate of demand, it is likely that future movement of this cut-off date will slow and possibly stop at some point in the near future. This action will be taken in an effort to keep issuances within the annual numerical limits.
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabulletin/visabulletin_April2012.pdf
Thank You
http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf
Can wife on EAD through husband, file for I-140 through her employer?
Please let me know coz nobody seems to know the answer to this.
Any prediction for May 2012 visa bulletin? Thanks
I just read this... Retrogression to Aug 2007 ... Can this be true ?
http://immigrate2usa.blogspot.com/
This reporter already predicted and alerted in reporting April Visa Bulletin, but AILA has just reported that Mr. Oppenheim disclosed on March 16, 2012, at the AILA Midwest Regional Conference in Chicago, that the EB-2 cut-off dates for India and China are likely to move backward to around August 2007, beginning from May or June 2012 Visa Bulletin. This information is indeed consistent with his earlier prediction in the Visa Bulltin. Once it retrogresses, it will add a tremendous pressure and stress on high-tech and R&D industries that need highly skilled professional foreign workers. It can impact the country's immigration in one of two ways or both ways. One is the pressure on the Senate to act on the pending H.R. 3012. The other is turning of a story what has been taken as a joke into the reality: On the ship consulting businesses off the territorial sea of the nation. Read on.
But do not worry we will be back to July 2008 or more in September 2012 - December 2012 time frame. For now I am not surprised by retrogression level but my personal POV would be to wait until July-August 2012 to do this after making informed decision because numbers looks arbitary so far. Once dates will move to August 2007 it will start moving again each month from September until we will be around June July 2008 in December. We will know with time. Those who will be lucky to receive green card next month should be thankful.
I remember similar thing happened in 2007 where two acquaintance with EB3-I PD of 2005 got green card in July and other few EB2-PD 2005 were waiting until 2009. That is the irony of USCIS and how it handles low hanging fruits. I do not want to open can of worms but if possible who are current can pressure Senators to expedite their applications.
What is your predictions about the May 2012 vb especially the Eb3 ROW? Thanks
Why will the dates start moving from Aug 2007 in September 2012 or Q1 2013. Is there any reason why USCIS like in the past cannot wait until Q4 2013 to start moving forward again.
Thanks
Murali
This might help you http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/uscis/menuitem.5af9bb95919f35e66f614176543f6d1a/?vgnextoid=a294b16dedc0f210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD&vgnextchannel=aa290a5659083210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD