Green Card Calculator · Employment Based · Data-Driven
When will I get
my Green Card?
Rebuilt for 2026 with retrogression modeling, spillover forecasting, CSPA aging-out, and three-scenario outputs. Updated with the latest Visa Bulletin data.
Latest Visa Bulletin Snapshot
๐ป Bear is fetching latest data...
Chart A only · Chart B killed for EB
๐ป Bear is fetching the latest Visa Bulletin data...
๐ป Waking up the bear...
Employment-Based (EB)
EB-1 · EB-2 · EB-3 · Spillover · Retrogression
Family-Based (FB) COMING SOON
F2A · F2B · F3 · F4 · Country backlogs
Calculator
Advanced
intelliCM
VB Data
Laws
FAQ
Your Green Card Timeline
Your profile is set above. Adjust spillover and family size below, then calculate.
Spillover & Family Size
These are the two biggest variables in your wait time
Visa Bulletin — Final Action Dates
Chart A · Employment Based · Source: Department of State
๐จ Retrogression Alert: EB-2 India retrogressed 10.5 months. EB-1 India retrogressed 3.5 months. DOS warns further retrogression possible before Sep 30, 2026.
| Category | India | ฮ | China | ฮ | Philippines | ROW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EB-1 | Dec 15, 2022 | ▼ -3.5mo | Apr 1, 2023 | — | Current | Current |
| EB-2 | Sep 1, 2013 | ▼ -10.5mo | Sep 1, 2021 | — | Current | Current |
| EB-3 | Dec 15, 2013 | ▲ +1mo | Aug 1, 2021 | ▲ +1.5mo | Aug 1, 2023 | Jun 1, 2024 |
| EB-4 | Current | — | Current | — | Current | Current |
| EB-5 | May 1, 2022 | — | Sep 22, 2016 | — | Current | Current |
Key Insight — June 2026
EB-3 India is Now Ahead of EB-2 India
After the massive EB-2 India retrogression, EB-3 India (Dec 2013) is now 3 months ahead of EB-2 India (Sep 2013). The Advanced predictor models this with real-time comparison.
Chart B Status
USCIS Killed Chart B for Employment-Based Filings
Starting May 2026, USCIS only honors Final Action Dates (Chart A) for EB I-485 filing eligibility. No early filing advantage.
Advanced Prediction Engine
12 additional variables that transform a guess into a model. Each feature explained below.
One Subscription. Everything Unlocked.
Advanced Scenario Mapping + Ask intelliCM + Subscriber-Only Analysis + Document Kit + VB Alerts + Live CM Events + Subscriber Community. All for less than a coffee.
Green Card Prediction Engine
Our engine learns from every Visa Bulletin. Each month, it compares predictions against real movements, detects policy changes, and self-corrects its velocity and demand models. Your prediction gets sharper every cycle — powered by real-world data, not static spreadsheets.
12-Feature Engine
Scenario mapping with all sliders, CSPA, risk flags, EB2↔EB3
Ask intelliCM
AI advisor that compounds your prediction results with live data
Document Kit
AC21 letters, I-485 checklists, RFE guides, H-4 EAD templates
CM Live Events
Live VB analysis on TikTok + Instagram. Q&A with CM every month
Subscriber Community
Private channels on TikTok + Instagram. Connect with others in the queue
Priority Email to CM
Direct case review, pre-filled with your data, 48hr personal reply
One-Time
$6.99
24-hour access
Monthly
$4.99
/month
3-Month
$12.99
Save $2
6-Month
$21.99
Save $8
BEST VALUE
Annual
$39.99
Save $20
$39.99/year = $3.33/mo — save $20 vs monthly
Apple Pay · Google Pay · PayPal · UPI · Cards — all accepted
Cancel anytime · One subscription unlocks Advanced + intelliCM + Community + Live Events
FAMILY-BASED GREEN CARD CALCULATOR — COMING SOON
F2A, F2B, F3, F4 categories. Subscribers get early access.
What You Get — 12 Advanced Features
Retrogression Probability
Predicts the chance of VB dates moving backwards by FY quarter. Factors in historical Q3/Q4 retrogression patterns and current demand pressure. Uses historical Q3/Q4 patterns to flag risk for your category.
FB→EB Spillover Forecast
Models impact of the 70-country immigrant visa ban. Tracks unused Family-Based visas that cascade into EB allocation. Projects unused FB visas cascading into EB allocation based on current ban status.
PERM Demand Distribution
Estimates pending I-485 demand by filing year using DOL PERM approval data, conversion factors (1.40×), and duplicate-filing adjustments (65% unique). Shows exactly how many people filed in your PD year.
I-485 Pending Inventory
Calculates how many people are ahead of you using USCIS quarterly pending inventory data, adjusted for dependents (2.5× India) and country of birth. The number that actually determines your wait.
Consular Processing %
Shows what % of your category's visas are consumed at consulates abroad vs. domestic AOS. Travel bans redirect this supply — when consular issuance drops, more visas flow to domestic I-485 applicants.
PWMB Decay Rate
"People Who Missed the Boat" — CM's original concept. Time-decay function that reduces phantom demand from pre-2007 PERM filings where applicants never completed I-485. Older PDs = fewer real applicants ahead of you.
Porting Pressure Index
Measures the rate of EB3→EB2 (and now EB2→EB3) porting and how it shifts demand between categories. Tracks whether EB-3 or EB-2 is faster — and which direction people are porting.
CSPA Aging-Out Calculator
Calculates your child's projected age at green card approval using USCIS's new Final Action Date methodology. Flags critical risk if age approaches 21. Children aging out lose dependent status — this is irreversible.
EB-2 vs EB-3 Comparison
Side-by-side timeline projection for both categories using your priority date. Shows which path is faster and by how many years right now. Updated each month when the new Visa Bulletin is released.
Full Formula Breakdown
Every variable exposed: velocity, demand, supply, conversion factor, PWMB, dependent multiplier, porting adjustment, processing time. Full transparency — see exactly how your estimate is calculated.
Personalized Risk Flags
Alerts for H-4 EAD eligibility, AC21 portability status, EB-1 alternative path analysis (9 years faster if you qualify), Trump policy distortion warnings, and retrogression risk level for your specific case.
Ask CM — AI Immigration Advisor
CM's knowledge engine. Ask questions about your specific situation — powered by 88 blog posts, 424 community Q&As, and 16 years of VB data. Like having CM in your pocket, available 24/7.
intelliCM
Case Intelligence
CM's brain, on demand. 16 years of immigration data. Your case. Right now.
Your Case. 16 Years of Data. One Answer.
Not generic immigration advice — answers built from your exact priority date, category, country, USCIS demand data, visa bulletin history, and CM's pattern analysis.
Ask intelliCM
AI advisor that compounds your prediction results with live data
Quarterly Analysis
Deep dives by CM — USCIS inventory, porting math, CSPA
Document Kit
AC21 letters, I-485 checklists, RFE guides, H-4 EAD
Priority Email to CM
Direct case review, pre-filled with your data, 48hr reply
VB Alerts
Email when your PD nears current or retrogression hits
Advanced Engine
12-feature scenario mapping, CSPA, risk flags, porting
One-Time
$6.99
24-hour access
Monthly
$4.99
/month
3-Month
$12.99
Save $2
6-Month
$21.99
Save $8
BEST VALUE
Annual
$39.99
Save $20
Apple Pay · Google Pay · PayPal · UPI · Cards
Cancel anytime · Same subscription unlocks Advanced + intelliCM
$4.99/mo vs $400/hr attorney. Porting analysis, CSPA calculations, AC21 guidance, VB predictions — 24/7 for less than a coffee.
2025–2026 Law & Policy Changes
Everything affecting your green card timeline in the Trump 2.0 era
| Policy | What Changed | Effective | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| $100K H-1B Fee | New H-1B petitions require $100K fee. Renewals exempt. | Sep 2025 | SEVERE |
| Wage-Based H-1B Lottery | Random → wage-level weighting. Level IV priority. | FY2027 | SEVERE |
| 70+ Country Visa Ban | Immigrant visa pause. Creates FB→EB spillover. | Jan 2026 | HIGH |
| Chart B Killed for EB | Final Action Dates only for EB I-485 filings. | May 2026 | HIGH |
| CSPA Calculation Change | Final Action Dates for age calculation. | Mid-2025 | MONITOR |
| Public Charge Expansion | Deny based on expected benefit reliance. | Proposed | WATCH |
Frequently Asked Questions
Real questions from 1,000+ community comments
Why did EB-2 India retrogress 10.5 months in June 2026?
DOS advanced dates aggressively due to travel ban effects. When demand materialized faster than expected, they pulled back hard for FY2026 limits. Key takeaway: do not extrapolate temporary acceleration.
Is EB-3 India now better than EB-2 India?
As of June 2026, yes — by 3 months. EB-3 India (Dec 2013) is ahead of EB-2 India (Sep 2013). This could reverse. The Advanced predictor shows both paths side-by-side.
What does "Chart B killed" mean?
Only Final Action Dates determine I-485 filing eligibility. You can only file when PD is current on Chart A. No early filing.
Will the 70-country ban help me?
Indirectly. 60K+ unused FB visas spill to EB in FY2027. Could mean 200K+ total EB visas. India/China NOT on banned list. Real benefit hits Oct 2026.
What is PWMB?
People Who Missed the Boat — CM's concept. Pre-2007 PERM filers who never finished I-485. Phantom demand. The Advanced predictor applies time-decay: older PDs = higher dropout.
Latest VB
PERM×1.4
VEL=1.5
SPILL+12K
PWMB=0.8
VEL=1.5
SPILL+12K
PWMB=0.8
Crunching your numbers…