Updated 10 May 2010 - (Check this for Reason of Update)
Predictions
- EB3- China could advance to 01 July 2004
- EB3-Philippines could advance to 22 September 2005. (As EB3-P cannot have cut-off date surpass that of EB3-ROW, predicted cut-off dates are revised)
- EB3-Mexico could advance to 15 October 2004.
- EB3-ROW could advance to 22 September 2005. (Due to unknown hidden demand as mentioned in above linked article, we have to revise our prediction for EB3-ROW from 1 Oct 2005 to 22 September 2005. Reduction in demand for May was only 1575)
- EB2 will be current for ROW, Mexico and Philippines.
- EB3-India could advance to 22 April 2002.
- EB2-India would see movement till 15 July 2006 - Since I-485 Inventory suggested that demand for EB2-India from '08 May 06' to '01 July 2006' was 2806 and demand data only reduced by 2875, this suggests that not much upgrade demand was gauged. We still think DOS will be interested in gauging some more demand before moving dates in June visa bulletin by significant amount. We still predict that cut-off dates for EB2-I will move by two weeks and at most by 4-5 weeks. We expect significant movement for EB2-IC in July visa bulletin.
- EB2-China could advance to 08 August 2006.
Really? What's the likelihood the June 2011 EB2-I goes to Aug 1, 2006?
This is really a great move!!! especially Eb3 Philippines. How about Eb3 feb. 2006? any predictions when can I be current?
Thanks! more power!!!
Thanks in advance.
Rohit
Anonymous said...
This is my opinion. EB2 India will move 6 to 7 weeks in June and July bulletin. So, In July bulletin the priority date would be 15th Oct 2006.
Good Luck.
Anonymous said...
Hi CM,
This is really a great move!!! especially Eb3 Philippines. How about Eb3 feb. 2006? any predictions when can I be current?
Thanks! more power!!!
Anonymous said...
my pd is january 30 2006 eb3 philippines...when i can possibly be current? thanks!!!!
Anonymous said...
Hi CM, can you update the data for the green card calculator? Lets say every 3 months so we can clearly calculate our priority dates? Month of April 2011 will do. Thank you for this site.
My priority dat is August 15 2005. I will be current in May. I would like to know, how long does it take to get my green card. My wife, son and me.?
Will it be a good idea to buy that airlines tickets, because they are cheap now, im planning to by for June 22?
Do you guys think government shutdown will happen?
Thanks
My personal opinion, if it is not an emergency trip, postpone it until you will get green card. Regards.
Anonymous said...
HI
My priority dat is August 15 2005. I will be current in May. I would like to know, how long does it take to get my green card. My wife, son and me.?
Will it be a good idea to buy that airlines tickets, because they are cheap now, im planning to by for June 22?
Do you guys think government shutdown will happen?
Thanks
Contact me on : ali100000000@yahoo.com
Contact me on : ali100000000@yahoo.com
regds
Suzy
Chances are 50 % for June visa bulletin. If you will be current this June, you may get your GC anytime from 15 days to 2 months depending upon what documents does USCIS need to process your GC. Examples: FP. Medical Examination, other documents.
Would you know the likely hood of Jan 2009 EB2-India date being current.Going by the current trend,do you think it will be FY 2014?
@CM - thank you for your predictions. My FP, Med is done - way back in 2007. Will they request it again!?
Regards
Suzy
Anonymous said...
Hi CM, my PD is December 12, 2005, when do you think it would be current? Thank you very much.
Anonymous said...
Hi CM,
Would you know the likely hood of Jan 2009 EB2-India date being current.Going by the current trend,do you think it will be FY 2014?
There is possibilty that they will ask again. Most of the people who had file in 2007 had FP redone in 2009. If your was not done, chances are they might ask. But again nothing is concrete.
Anonymous said...
my pd date is Aug 9th 2006. Any chance mine would be current in the June Bulletin.
As of now all estimation is from 05 January 2011.
Anonymous said...
Hello CM, when can you update your green card calculator? This site of yours had been a blessing to us with pending PD'S. I had a friend whose PD is March 1, 2009 EB3Phil. According to the calculator she will have to wait around 6.5years. Is this accurate or the time will reduce coz it started counting January 2010, and now we will be nearing May 2010 plus the porting from EB3 TO EB2.Thank you for this site again. BTW a top cop in alaska is an illegal immigrant hehehe.
How do you think a person with h4 visa who is employed by using other's identity? Don't know how he got a name with ss number.Wanting to help his family,can't blame him, waiting for so many years on h4 visa and letting days pass by without doing anything and just watching the spouse hardly working to feed the family is a torture.How about a part time job 3 hours a day on 2 days a week on h4 visa, is it just ok? I prefer for the latter because the former is heavy. Is there a proposed bill that h4 visa holder can be employed if being approved?
Today I got a letter from Uscis that my Case was transferred from national befits center to TSC. my priority date is august 15 2005, I will be current in May? Is this good news that I will get my green card soonest that I think?
Anonymous said...
hi my PD is OCtober 2006 EB3 philippines.when can i have my interview?ty
We are hopeful that you will be current this bulletin.
If it is important for h4 visa holder to earn money, there are others option he/she can choose.
a) Enroll in a graduate program that offers assistantantship (RA/TA). Dependents can talk to professor and work voluntarily for at least one semester to prove her/his merit before getting enrolled in a program.
b) Find a work which sponsors H1B visa
c) Look for job in non-profit organization which does H1B Exempt visa.
Anonymous said...
hello CM,
How do you think a person with h4 visa who is employed by using other's identity? Don't know how he got a name with ss number.Wanting to help his family,can't blame him, waiting for so many years on h4 visa and letting days pass by without doing anything and just watching the spouse hardly working to feed the family is a torture.How about a part time job 3 hours a day on 2 days a week on h4 visa, is it just ok? I prefer for the latter because the former is heavy. Is there a proposed bill that h4 visa holder can be employed if being approved?
Anonymous said...
Hi,
Today I got a letter from Uscis that my Case was transferred from national befits center to TSC. my priority date is august 15 2005, I will be current in May? Is this good news that I will get my green card soonest that I think?
Anonymous said...
my pd date is Aug 9th 2006 eb2-india Any chance mine would be current in the June Bulletin.
Hello CM! My petition was approved and got case complete and documentary qualified before I got pregnant, and now my daughter is turning 2 yrs old this April 30,2011. What shall I do I wanna bring her together with me and my husband. But I haven't informed the NVC about it yet. MY PD is Sept, 2005 and is about to be current. What documents do I need to prepare for her and is it possible to put her as accompany me to the US now in my DS forms? Another thing, do I need to fill up a separate DS forms for her too just like with my husband? Your best advice is highly appreciated. I'm so worried about her to be place in FTJ. Thank you so much CM!
We are on the same scenario. My PD is December 2005 (EB3-P) and supposed to be documentarily qualified on November 2010 but due to including my baby who will be 2 years old this coming July, my case status moved backward by one step (NVC received your checklist letter response on…please wait 4 to 8 weeks…).
Two months ago I sent an email and at the same time called NVC regarding my child and they advised me to send her filled DS230, birth certificate and to pay the visa fee which I did.
Regarding on how to pay the visa fee, you will have to pay it thru a lawyer that will be assigned to you by NVC. Instruction will be provided by NVC regarding this matter.
I am also expecting that my PD will be current within 2-4 months and hope that by then…I will be documentarily qualified...again.
My advice is to send an email to NVC or call them C and inquire about your status.
I hope this info will be of help. God bless.
There will no need to call for a SR?
I hope ill get some good news next week.
Thanks for your answers.
ill guess i can start lookin for airlines tickets.
Anonymous said...
@CM
There will no need to call for a SR?
I hope ill get some good news next week.
Thanks for your answers.
ill guess i can start lookin for airlines tickets.
Anonymous said...
Thank you for such an informative site. I would appreciate your prediction on when my green card can be filed, I have a priority date of Oct 2007, EB3 ROW. I am not in the USA so presume my case will be dealt with by the consulate in UK? Thank you for the time you spend answering all our quesries.
Hi CM, my PD is Jan 6,2006 in EB3-ROW when do you think it would be current? Thank you very much.
Appreciate your patient responses to all the questions.
My PD is Dec 10, 2006 in EB2. When do you think it would be current?
Thanks,
Raj
Please check our Predictions for EB2-IC later today. You should be current this year. Expect it in Sep 2011. Hollaback early tomorrow and we would know more better. Thanks.
Anonymous said...
hi CM im currently working here at saudi and my priority date is eb3 phil. sept.2006 and i was just wondering if there any possibility that my pd will be current for nxt yr 2012 is there any slight chance.bec. its very difficult here to resign and it should be 3 months prior if you have any plan to resign,and i dont want my american dream to be compromise and im having hard time if i will renew my contract for another year.pls. reply i need your advice.on what to do.
Anonymous said...
HI CM. I NEED YOUR ADVICE. MY SON AND I ARE FTJ DERIVATIVES OF E3P with PD Oct 2006.Since our wait period is too long already, my son is becoming impatient of the long wait and now decided to apply to Canada as Immigrant to Quebec. My question is, if his application will be approved, can he still continue his visa processing to US once our PD becomes current, hopefully in 2012? I 824 has been approved already.thank you so much.
My PD under EB2 is August 21st 2006. When do you think it will be current? I am just waiting for i-485 approval. All the rest has been approved.
Thanks a lot!!
My PD under EB2 is August 21st 2006 (india). When do you think it will be current? I am just waiting for i-485 approval. All the rest has been approved.
Thanks a lot!!
My PD under EB3 Philippines is July 28, 2008. Can you please give me an idea as to when this will become current. My biggest concern at the moment is, my daughter will turn 21 yrs old in Sept. 2013. Do you think we'll be able to get our green card before she turns 21.
Thanks.
MS
Thanks for all the effort in putting up the details and all the predictions. My priority date is October 27, 2006 EB2-I, with the new calculations, when do you think it will be current ?
Thanks
Rahul
My PD is Jan 9 2006 EB3 Philippines. According to your calculation, when will my priority date become current?
Thank you!!!
Greetings!
Thanks for this wonderful site!
I have a query, I am EB3PHilippines, I am documentarily qualified last 2008 as single, last 2009 I got married, is it possible to include my husband in Ds230 as "Accompany"?,Do I need to inform the US consulate on my new status? or just bring during my interview time when my Pd is current?
What is the best thing to do on this?
Thanks & more power!!!
We are on the same boat, eb3 phil with PD july 2008. Using the calculator of this wonderful website, we have to wait for 4 years and 11 months more, and my son will also turn 21 on january 2013.The only way I know for him not to be out of status is to apply for a student visa, I also dont know if he will be covered by Child Status Protection Act (CSPA)since we only have approved I-140 and didn't filed I-485 concurrently due to retrogression, but i'm still hoping for the best.
Anonymous said...
Hi CM
My PD under EB2 is August 21st 2006 (india). When do you think it will be current? I am just waiting for i-485 approval. All the rest has been approved.
Thanks a lot!!
Unfortunately, as per our current calculations, you will not be current until Jan 2016. I would really start looking into possibility of finding EB2 job if possible before she turns 21, so that you can file I-485 and lock her age as per CSPA rule before she turns 21.
Anonymous said...
Hi CM,
My PD is Jan 9 2006 EB3 Philippines. According to your calculation, when will my priority date become current?
Thank you!!!
Anonymous said...
Hi CM
Greetings!
Thanks for this wonderful site!
I have a query, I am EB3PHilippines, I am documentarily qualified last 2008 as single, last 2009 I got married, is it possible to include my husband in Ds230 as "Accompany"?,Do I need to inform the US consulate on my new status? or just bring during my interview time when my Pd is current?
What is the best thing to do on this?
Thanks & more power!!!
My PD under EB2 is March 21st 2007. When do you think it will be current? (140 already approved)
Thanks a lot!!
My PD under EB2 is March 21st 2007(India). When do you think it will be current? (140 already approved)
Thanks a lot!!
@paul said...
Sorry but it pisses me off the India and China oversubscribe and cause us from the ROW to be on the eternal wait list too. I don't see why spillover from EB1 should automatically go to oversubscribed countries, give people from the rest of the world a chance!
I am EB2-I, PD 15 Sept 2006 - would I be current by June-July 2011? I didn't get to file for the 485 in 2007 - how much time from there on to ge the GC after filing 485?
Anonymous said...
Hi CM,
My PD under EB2 is March 21st 2007(India). When do you think it will be current? (140 already approved)
Thanks a lot!!
Anonymous said...
Hello CM! My pd is nov.2005 under e3phils is it possible my pd will be current before sept 2011? It bothers me because my Visa Screen will be expire this coming aug.2011. Thank you
Paul:
If you are talking about EB3-ROW, well in that case, ROW is also oversubscribed and retrogressed. Only solution to the stated problem is visa recapture bill. Spillover is allocated as per USCIS interpretation of INA section Section 202(a)(5). This interpretation changed recently.
Anonymous said...
I agree with you.Now they started to port from EB3 to EB2 and causing more problems for others.
@paul said...
Sorry but it pisses me off the India and China oversubscribe and cause us from the ROW to be on the eternal wait list too. I don't see why spillover from EB1 should automatically go to oversubscribed countries, give people from the rest of the world a chance!
Somewhere around FY 2013. 1st quarter or last quarter depends upon how DOS would handle post July 2007 cases.
Anonymous said...
Hi cm my pd is 07 may 2007 eb3 row when you think my pd will be current
Anonymous said...
Hi,
I am EB2-I, PD 15 Sept 2006 - would I be current by June-July 2011? I didn't get to file for the 485 in 2007 - how much time from there on to ge the GC after filing 485?
Jan
@CM, Porting is legal and allows individuals to enhance their career as and when opportunity comes, especially when countries oversubscribe and retrogress.
Paul:
If you are talking about EB3-ROW, well in that case, ROW is also oversubscribed and retrogressed. Only solution to the stated problem is visa recapture bill. Spillover is allocated as per USCIS interpretation of INA section Section 202(a)(5). This interpretation changed recently.
Anonymous said...
I agree with you.Now they started to port from EB3 to EB2 and causing more problems for others.
@paul said...
Sorry but it pisses me off the India and China oversubscribe and cause us from the ROW to be on the eternal wait list too. I don't see why spillover from EB1 should automatically go to oversubscribed countries, give people from the rest of the world a chance!
My PD is is EB2 India Aug 2008 - when will be current
My PD is EB2 India October 25,2007. when do you think It will be current?
Anonymous said...
Hello CM, I would like to ask why EB3-P will slow after June 2011 visa bulletin? PWMB? or intentional slowdown? Thanks!
Anonymous said...
No one is claiming that it is illegal.Point is that people do this not to enhance their career but to get GC earlier.
@CM, Porting is legal and allows individuals to enhance their career as and when opportunity comes, especially when countries oversubscribe and retrogress.
Are we in for a big surprise this June VB? Your thoughts!!
Thun!!
Thank you very much for your help.
My PD is June 2007 EB2, when do you think it will be current
Thanks
ZF
What are the numbers we are expecting after all the July Visa Fiasco fillers are done, MY PD is Nov 2008. This numbers will give me idea how more years I am going to wait.
Can you give me an Idea what Year my PD will be current? EB3-Philippines
http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf
EB2 demand down by 3100;
EB3-Philippines & ROW is 15 SEPTEMBER 2005 as per Mumbai Consulate.God Bless and Good Luck to ALL!
Yet, unofficial. Let us wait for the final and official bulletin from NVC anytime by now.
Category India Most Other Countries
F1 1 May 2004 1 May 2004
FX 22 July 2007 22 July 2007
F2A 22 August 2007 22 August 2007
F2B 15 April 2003 15 April 2003
F3 1 June 2001 1 June 2001
F4 8 March 2000 8 March 2000
E1 Current Current
E2 15 October 2006 Current
E3 22 April 2002 15 September 2005
EW 22 April 2002 8 November 2003
E4 Current Current
E4-Religious Current Current
I just checked my PD is current under EB2-IC in the June 2011 visa bulletin. What will happen now? My 1-485 had already been applied way back.
I am confused if GC is ready to come to us or will it now be under processing? I mean whats the next step?
Thanks
Thank you for answering all our queries here. My PD is July 2008 EB3 Philippines. When will this be current?
MS
Big jump in March bulletin was because density of applicants was less in those months. On an average they use 1500-2000 visas per month. We can expect big jump again in August bulletin if DOS felt that CP demand is not converting into real demand to consume yearly allocation of 28,800 visas.
Anonymous said...
Hi CM, my pd is Sept2005 under EB3 Phils. My visa screen will expire on June 16, 2011.If I will be current come June VB, can I possibly request from NVC to grant me an interview date prior to my visa screen expiry? Your advice please. Thanks!
Anonymous said...
Hi, CM, my PD is October 2006 under EB2 areas other than listed, it is in the year of 2003, around November I guess it was in the year of 2005 than for some reason it went back to 2003 since then it never moved...Do you have any idea what could be happening? why is that not moving? is there any chance that they could be working on visas that are not 2003?
Thank you very much for your help.
Anonymous said...
CM,
What are the numbers we are expecting after all the July Visa Fiasco fillers are done, MY PD is Nov 2008. This numbers will give me idea how more years I am going to wait.
Can you give me an Idea what Year my PD will be current? EB3-Philippines
Anonymous said...
hi! do you have any predictions when i will be able to get my visa? my priority date was february 2007.thank you!
1) If the priority date becomes current and my F1 is not approved can I withdraw the COS application and apply for I-485 ?
2) How much time does it take to withdraw COS to F1 ?
3) If F1 is approved then can I immediately apply for I-485 or do I need to wait for sometime ?
4) If F1 is approved then do I need to get it stamped before I apply for I-485 ?
Anonymous said...
hello, EB3 Row, PD Feb 15, 2006... when can I expect to be current!!
1) If the priority date becomes current and my F1 is not approved can I withdraw the COS application and apply for I-485 ?
A- No matter what, I would withdraw your F1 application as soon as possible. Reason being F1 is not a dual-intent non-immigrant visa which means you cannot pursue permanent residence or immigrant intent while being on F1. Since you are changing to F1 status right now, you are vouching for non-immigrant intent for at least few months or year. So if your F1B visa is approved and then you file for I-485 immediately there is a conflict of interest. In that case visa officer could pursue cancellation of your F1 visa which puts you out of status and hence abandons your AOS if it will be filed. Immigrant intent can be different from immigrant desire, which is allowed on F1. Here Immigrant desire means individual came to US or changed status to F1, pursued school for a year or two and then desired to change his status to work on H1B or file LPR.
INA act requires F-1 visa applicant possesses a permanent residence in a foreign country he or she has no intention of abandoning "residence abroad". Non-Immigrant intent became a requirement for all nonimmigrant visas, except ones like H-1 and L, which no longer have, or never had, the "residence abroad" requirement.
The US immigration law does not prohibit F-1 status holders from changing their mind and deciding to pursue permanent residency once they arrive in the US . As a matter of fact, I-485 was systematically set up as a legal conduit for non-immigrants to change their status to permanent residents.
A related issue to the change of intent is preconceived intent or visa fraud. As a general rule, a person cannot have preconceived intent to enter the U.S. for a purpose different from that permitted under his/her visa. The courts have held that an alien may not enter as nonimmigrant or change to status of F1B in bad faith. The USCIS holds the opinion that F-1 students are deportable if they enter the U.S. with a preconceived intent to seek permanent resident status. If an alien files an immigration petition or applies to adjust to LPR status from a nonimmigrant status immediately after making the entry into the US, the USCIS would likely find that the alien entered with a "preconceived intent" to remain and that the F-1 visa was fraudulently obtained. The USCIS and the Board of Immigration Appeals can, as a proper exercise of discretion, deny the alien's adjustment application and deport him. The theory is that the alien would have never been admitted to the U.S. had he not misrepresented his intentions, so he was excludable at entry.
2) How much time does it take to withdraw COS to F1 ?
A- After submitting I-539 to USCIS and asking your school to cancel your I-20, it will take atleast a month. You should call USCIS and talk to rep their asking procedure to expedite your application.
3) If F1 is approved then can I immediately apply for I-485 or do I need to wait for sometime ?
A- You have to wait at least for few months before you will apply. I would consult good lawyer. It is on discretion of visa officer. Take legal help.
4) If F1 is approved then do I need to get it stamped before I apply for I-485 ?
Please do not leave country. Mostly like your F1B stamping will not be approved if during interview they will ask or check about your husband's immigrant intent.
Please seek legal advice on this issue as it is very sensitive and is surrounded by lot of gray areas. Best case will be you withdraw your F1B COS application.
Anonymous said...
Hi CM, I am on H4 and got an admission in a university for MBA. I have already applied for COS from H4 to F1 and its pending at California Processing Center.
Thanks for the reply regarding H4 to F1 COS. Could you please direct me how to withdraw my COS application, any sample letter or links that will be helpful ?
My Priority date is EB2-I Oct 2007. Could you please tell me when you think it will become current? Thanks!
Ram
Anonymous said...
Hi CM,
Thanks for the reply regarding H4 to F1 COS. Could you please direct me how to withdraw my COS application, any sample letter or links that will be helpful ?
Thanks for your answers regarding COS from H4 to F1. This blog site is a real help to the people who doesn't know much about visa/immigration rules and regulations. Do you think my husbands Priority date will be current in next visa bulletin ? His PD is 27th Oct 2006 EB2-India.
Anonymous said...
Hi CM,
Thanks for your answers regarding COS from H4 to F1. This blog site is a real help to the people who doesn't know much about visa/immigration rules and regulations. Do you think my husbands Priority date will be current in next visa bulletin ? His PD is 27th Oct 2006 EB2-India.
Anonymous said...
What EB-3 ROW priority will be current by September 2012?
Anonymous said...
No sir, my Priority date is EB2 ROW, PD Oct 2006 family based, Could you please tell me when you think it will become current? Thanks you
Anonymous said...
Got no answer for my question.
Anonymous said...
No sir, my Priority date is EB2 ROW, PD Oct 2006 family based, Could you please tell me when you think it will become current? Thanks you
Anonymous said...
No one is claiming that it is illegal.Point is that people do this not to enhance their career but to get GC earlier.
@CM, Porting is legal and allows individuals to enhance their career as and when opportunity comes, especially when countries oversubscribe and retrogress.
My PD is is EB2 India Aug 2008 - when will be current
My PD under EB2 is March 21st 2007(India). When do you think it will be current? (140 already approved)
Thanks a lot!!
Unfortunately, as per our current calculations, you will not be current until Jan 2016. I would really start looking into possibility of finding EB2 job if possible before she turns 21, so that you can file I-485 and lock her age as per CSPA rule before she turns 21.
Greetings!
Thanks for this wonderful site!
I have a query, I am EB3PHilippines, I am documentarily qualified last 2008 as single, last 2009 I got married, is it possible to include my husband in Ds230 as "Accompany"?,Do I need to inform the US consulate on my new status? or just bring during my interview time when my Pd is current?
What is the best thing to do on this?
Thanks & more power!!!
My email address is: sportsPTrider@yahoo.com
Thank you! I'd really appreciate any reply through my email ad.
Sincerely,
Confused PT
I am from Kenya and filed under EB3, my PD is July 2008. When do you expect my case to be current?
Thank you! MM
thanks.michelle from philipppines.
Hello i would like to ask if you can estimate when can i receive my green card i am applying for eb3 and my priority date is april 4 2011...i am hoping if you can help me about this.thank you very much..