EB3-ROW FY 2011 - Estimation of Visa Number used out of 28,800

In this post we have estimated use of EB3-ROW annual allocation of 28,800 visas for FY 2011. Later, this calculation will be used to estimate movement for FY 2012. Positive side of movement observed in FY 2011 is that since cut-of dates for EB3-ROW-M-P are same, we can expect EB3-ROW to use almost close to full allocation for movement in FY 2012. Please note this is one way of looking at the movement observed in FY 2011 and reality can involve more hidden demand than estimated, and less visas used for EB3-M-P. We will know more about this when country-wise visa used numbers will be out for FY 2011 in December 2011.

From annual allocation, total visas used for EB3-ROW in FY 2011

Total visa used upto 22 November 2005 = 13927 + 7092 = 21019

Adding Consular Processing cases (15 %) = 1.15 * 21019 = 24,172

On similar lines as above from different inventories,

From ROW annual allocation, total visas used EB3-Mexico in FY 2011

Total visa used upto 22 November 2005 = 5177

Adding Consular Processing cases (15 %) = 1.15 * 5177 = 5,953

Out of EB3-ROW allocation, EB3-M could have used 5953-2803 = 3,150

From ROW annual allocation, total visas used EB3-Philippines in FY 2011

Total visa used upto 22 November 2005 = 2813

Adding Consular Processing cases (30 %) = 1.30 * 2813 = 3,656

Out of EB3-ROW allocation, EB3-P could have used 3656-2803 = 854

 Estimated EB3-ROW Allocation used for FY 2011

So EB3- ROW annual allocation of 28,800 were used more or less in this way (some error here and there)

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24,172 + 3,150 + 854 = 28,176

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