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Home › April 2011 Visa Bulletin Predictions - EB Category
April 2011 Green Card Immigration Predictions Visa Bulletin

April 2011 Visa Bulletin Predictions - EB Category

Posted On Friday, March 4, 2011 by CM
57 comments
April 2011 Visa Bulletin will be out soon. Here is the prediction for April 2011 Visa Bulletin. We should see following movements in each category as long as USCIS/DOL would use visa numbers for each category as per statutory allocations.

Predictions
  • EB3- China could advance to 15 April 2004
  • EB3-Philippines could advance to 01 August 2005. (Correction : EB3 - Philippines would advance to 22 July 2005. At no point retrogressed country can have Priority Date beyond EB3- ROW)
  • EB3-Mexico could advance to 22 February 2004.
  • EB3-ROW could advance to 22 July 2005.
  • EB2 will be current for ROW, Mexico and Philippines.
  • EB3-India could advance to 01 April 2002.
  • EB2-India would not see any movement.
  • EB2-China could advance to 15 Jul 2006.


CM
Predictions are based on educated guess and are not guaranteed. Please take with a grain of salt. Always consult a licensed immigration attorney for your specific situation.
Discussion
57 comments
Share your priority date, category and country - CM or the community will respond.
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Share your PD, category and country. The community will respond.
wow nice predictions. Will ask more of my friends to follow this blog.
EB2 India...8may06... jeez I need paxil... :(
Now can you predict the May VB!
Damn! More waiting!!!! So close and yet so far!!!August 2005 FIRST!!!!!
@Anonymous- wow nice predictions. Will ask more of my friends to follow this blog.

Thanks. We really appreciate you endorsing our blog and recommending to others. We always try to put forth our best efforts to provide useful information based on our understanding of the system.
@Anonymous - Now can you predict the May VB!
Damn! More waiting!!!! So close and yet so far!!!August 2005 FIRST!!!!!

Lol ... not so soon... Predictions would be up usually around last week of each month. If you are EB3-ROW, 1st August 2005 will be 'Current' in next bulletin.
@Anonymous- wow nice predictions. Will ask more of my friends to follow this blog.

Thanks. We really appreciate you endorsing our blog and recommending it to others. We always try to put-forth our best efforts to provide useful information based on our understanding of the system.
@Anonymous- wow nice predictions. Will ask more of my friends to follow this blog.

Thanks. We really appreciate you endorsing our blog and recommending it to others. We always try to put-forth our best efforts to provide useful information based on our understanding of the system.
Feb'1'07 - will the date be current this year. Thank you.
Which country and category are you asking about?

ToAnonymous - Feb'1'07 - will the date be current this year. Thank you.
Feb'1'07,EB2I: will the date be current this year. Thank you.
@Anonymous- - Feb'1'07,EB2I: will the date be current this year. Thank you.

It totally depends on three factors a) EB1 demand, b) EB2-ROW demand and EB3 to EB2 porting. Looking at current trend in porting you have 90% chance of being current this year. Hopefully released demand data is real indicator of porting. increase and decrease of EB2-I demand data exactly by 25 worries me.

Also see -> See EB2 predictions
What do you think about EB-3 Mexico October 2004?
For EB3-Mexico with PD October 2004, I think you would make it this year. It should happen in a month or two. I am little surprised that backlog shown in I-485 inventory is reduced so quickly. I wonder if they will use the yearly visa quota early and make it 'unavailable' for later fiscal year . If so, It totally depends on visa demand, which looks low so far. Good Luck.


@Anonymous-- What do you think about EB-3 Mexico October 2004?
Just an estimate.. How long do you think it would take for August 1st, 2007 to be current for eb3 for phillipines?
As per current I-485 inventory, EB3-P with PD 1st August 2007 will be current in July 2014.
@Anonymous - Just an estimate.. How long do you think it would take for August 1st, 2007 to be current for eb3 for phillipines?
Are you sure? where is it that you are looking? I'm sorry, I just thought it would be sooner than that.
There are at least 9390 EB3-P applicants with PD before July 2007. Annual yearly quota is 2800. So you can do the math. It will at least take 3.5 years from Jan 5 2011, before EB3-P individual with a PD 1st August 2007 will be current. This is without taking into out any cases from local offices and other CP cases which will be added as dates will move every month. Also we do not expect to receive any spillover to EB3-P. So as per current inventory best case is July 2014.
For EB-3 Philippines with priority date of Jan 1 2006,there's possibility to be current this fiscal year. thanks!
January 1st 2006 will be on borderline for EB3-P. You may or may not make it. Very close. If local offices will not add many cases, you would just be 'current'

Anonymous said...
For EB-3 Philippines with priority date of Jan 1 2006,there's possibility to be current this fiscal year. thanks!
What about EB3-ROW, my priority date is august 16 2006, do you think I will make it this year
You will not make it this year. But definitely you will make it next year around Feb-Mar 2012.

To Anonymous said...

What about EB3-ROW, my priority date is august 16 2006, do you think I will make it this year
Hi! my Philippines EB3 Priority Date is September 08, 2008. When can I expect it to be current, what month and year? Thank you!
is it 2800 for all categories?
It will be around Jan-Feb 2016.

Anonymous said...

Hi! my Philippines EB3 Priority Date is September 08, 2008. When can I expect it to be current, what month and year? Thank you!
It is 2803 for each retrogressed country in their respective category. i.e For Eb3-P is 2803, EB3-I is 2803, EB3-M is 2803 and little less for EB3-C around 2,503.

For 'Rest of World' it is around 28,800.

Total making it to 40,040 for an annual year for EB3.

Similar distribution for EB1 and EB2. Remaining 19,880(9,940 per category) out of 1,40,000 is for EB4 and EB5.


Anonymous said...

is it 2800 for all categories?
What is the chance of a priority date of Sept 26,2005 to be current in the coming visa bulletin? Your prediction will be greatly appreciated. Thanks and more power.
Assuming you are EB3-ROW, Sept 26, 2005 will not be current in the coming bulletin. But chances are 100% in June visa bulletin

Anonymous said...

What is the chance of a priority date of Sept 26,2005 to be current in the coming visa bulletin? Your prediction will be greatly appreciated. Thanks and more power.
@CM
when do you think may 2008 priority date EB3 ROW will be current? 2011, 2012?
It will be current around Oct- Dec 2012. It can be current before that as well depending upon when EB3-ROW will pass July 2007; and USCIS would open gates for few months (or a year in case of ROW) to intake few applications to create enough buffer for year's inventory. I would predict more on optimistic side, about 1.5 years from now near Sep 2012. It also depends on other CP and local cases that will be added when dates will become current every month.

Anonymous said...

@CM
when do you think may 2008 priority date EB3 ROW will be current? 2011, 2012?
hi
what do you think about EB3 ROW PD february 15 2006
thanks
Why is there so much emphasis on July 2007 for EB3 ROW? Could you please shed some light?
My PD is Sep 2007 EB3 ROW, on optimistic side when should I expect it to be current?

Thanks.
I expect you to be current by September 2011. :)

Anonymous said...

hi
what do you think about EB3 ROW PD february 15 2006
thanks
Latest PD date that was ever current for EB3-ROW is July 2007. So USCIS has good inventory on number of I-485s that are filed until PD July 2007. After that, dates were never current. So to wisely use annual visa numbers, USCIS would have to open gates for some I-485 applications to build their inventory again. I expect when dates will pas July 2007, USCIS may make dates current for EB3-ROW for folks with PDs about few month or even a year from July 2007 .

EB3 ROW PD Sep 2007 should be current around Oct- Dec 2012, a month later as soon as dates will reach July 2007. But again this is too early to guess anything. We will know more as and when USCIS will release it's quarterly I-485 inventory reports.




Anonymous said...

Why is there so much emphasis on July 2007 for EB3 ROW? Could you please shed some light?
My PD is Sep 2007 EB3 ROW, on optimistic side when should I expect it to be current?

Thanks.
Cm how about mine im under EB3 Phil. PD of sept.2006 when will i expect my PD will be current?
what about EB3 ROW PD april 29 2007
THANKS
As of now for sure by Sep 2012. :)

Anonymous said...

what about EB3 ROW PD april 29 2007
THANKS
i cant understand your prediction EB3 PD OF APRIL 2007 WILL BE CURRENT ON 2012 OF SEPT. WHILE EB3 OF SEPTEBER 2006 WILL BE CURRENT ON MARCH 2013?
When will eb3 India march 2005 be current?
"WHILE EB3 OF SEPTEBER 2006 WILL BE CURRENT ON MARCH 2013" - Are you talking on EB3-Philippines?

EB3 PD OF APRIL 2007 WILL BE CURRENT ON 2012 OF SEPT is for EB3-ROW. EB3-Philippines is still retrogressed country and has more demand than EB3-ROW. Annual quota for EB3-P is 2800 visas whereas for EB3-ROW is 28,800. EB3- ROW has less demand and hence it's date will reach later PD early than EB3-P with higher demand.





Anonymous said...

i cant understand your prediction EB3 PD OF APRIL 2007 WILL BE CURRENT ON 2012 OF SEPT. WHILE EB3 OF SEPTEBER 2006 WILL BE CURRENT ON MARCH 2013
At least 6-8 years,

Anonymous said...

When will eb3 India march 2005 be current?
my EB3 ROW Priority Date is September 22, 2008. When will it be current?
Will EB2-I Sep 2007 be current this year?
Yes it will be somewhere around August- Sep 2011

Anonymous said...

Will EB2-I Sep 2007 be current this year?
Could you predict when EB3, Row Feb. 9th 2007 will be current?
hi CM im currently working here at saudi and my priority date is eb3 phil. sept.2006 and i was just wondering if there any possibility that my pd will be current for nxt yr 2012 is there any slight chance.bec. its very difficult here to resign and it should be 3 months prior if you have any plan to resign,and i dont want my american dream to be compromise and im having hard time if i will renew my contract for another year.pls. reply i need your advice.on what to do.
I do not think you will be current for next 2.2 years atleast. I will think around FY 2013, target March-April 2013. Good Luck.

Anonymous said...
hi CM im currently working here at saudi and my priority date is eb3 phil. sept.2006 and i was just wondering if there any possibility that my pd will be current for nxt yr 2012 is there any slight chance.bec. its very difficult here to resign and it should be 3 months prior if you have any plan to resign,and i dont want my american dream to be compromise and im having hard time if i will renew my contract for another year.pls. reply i need your advice.on what to do.
It is 2803 for each retrogressed country in their respective category. i.e For Eb3-P is 2803, EB3-I is 2803, EB3-M is 2803 and little less for EB3-C around 2,503.

For 'Rest of World' it is around 28,800.

Total making it to 40,040 for an annual year for EB3.

Similar distribution for EB1 and EB2. Remaining 19,880(9,940 per category) out of 1,40,000 is for EB4 and EB5.


Anonymous said...

is it 2800 for all categories?
January 1st 2006 will be on borderline for EB3-P. You may or may not make it. Very close. If local offices will not add many cases, you would just be 'current'

Anonymous said...
For EB-3 Philippines with priority date of Jan 1 2006,there's possibility to be current this fiscal year. thanks!
Just an estimate.. How long do you think it would take for August 1st, 2007 to be current for eb3 for phillipines?
@Anonymous- - Feb'1'07,EB2I: will the date be current this year. Thank you.

It totally depends on three factors a) EB1 demand, b) EB2-ROW demand and EB3 to EB2 porting. Looking at current trend in porting you have 90% chance of being current this year. Hopefully released demand data is real indicator of porting. increase and decrease of EB2-I demand data exactly by 25 worries me.

Also see -> See EB2 predictions
Which country and category are you asking about?

ToAnonymous - Feb'1'07 - will the date be current this year. Thank you.
Now can you predict the May VB!
Damn! More waiting!!!! So close and yet so far!!!August 2005 FIRST!!!!!
wow nice predictions. Will ask more of my friends to follow this blog.
no hope for application outside united states or such consular processing eventhough your pd will be current, so many application are waiting in the NVC..double agony waiting for the PD and for consular processing.
CM_USNonImmigrants
#
Agree
Hi, When do you think January 2009 will be current (India EB2) ?
CM_USNonImmigrants
#
I would think anywhere from 2-2.5 from today.