Wednesday, March 16, 2011

May 2011 Visa Bulletin Predictions - EB Category


Wednesday, March 16, 2011 | , , , , ,

Updated 03/29/2011 - Based on recently released data

Here is the prediction for May 2011 Visa Bulletin. We should see following movements in each category as long as USCIS/DOL would use visa numbers for each category as per statutory allocations.

Predictions

  • EB3- China could advance to 08 April 2004

  • EB3-Philippines could advance to 22 August 2005.

  • EB3-Mexico could advance to 15 August 2004.

  • EB3-ROW could advance to 22 August 2005.

  • EB2 will be current for ROW, Mexico and Philippines.

  • EB3-India could advance to 15 April 2002.

  • EB2-India would see movement till 15 December 2006 (based on EB1 spillover of 12000, half yearly EB2-demand and half-yearly unused EB4 and EB5 numbers).

  • EB2-China could advance to 15 December 2006.


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262 comments:

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Anonymous said...

Thank you for such kind of information. It really helps. Keep it up. You guys are awesome. Love your site!!!

Anonymous said...

Hi,
I acknowledge your experties,
Will you perdict about EB3,ROW 28Feb, 2007. Will it be current in 2011, Sep.

Rav said...

No it will not be current in FY 2011. It will be current in Sep FY 2012.


Anonymous said...

Hi,
I acknowledge your experties,
Will you perdict about EB3,ROW 28Feb, 2007. Will it be current in 2011, Sep.


CM said ...

Thank you so much.

Anonymous said...

Thank you for such kind of information. It really helps. Keep it up. You guys are awesome. Love your site!!!

Anonymous said...

This site appears to be the best among those addressing curiosity of those in queue.

Though it would be a long shot, can you hazard guessing what is the likely period EB2 India with PD Oct 2010 would become available? I am weighing some options - one being going back to follow rising economy there rather than being a captive worker here.

Rav said...

Thank you for your kind words. I would think that EB2 India with PD Oct 2010 will at least take 5 years or more if we assume that EB2-IC will receive 15000 spillover each year. Even EB3 to EB2 Porting is happening at a rate of 4-6K each year. Taking everything into account, I do not see your dates becoming current before 5 years.

With globalization, I would look into the options back at your home country if you think that you can get a job that would give similar job satisfaction based on your current education and work experience here in US. There is always a chance you could come back to US on a project as a manager/lead. I would wait until your I-140 is approved. Please ensure you complete at least 6 months after approval in current role. This way you will have current PD tied to your alien number. If later, you will come back to US, you can use your current I-140 approval to recapture PD. Good Luck.


Anonymous said...

This site appears to be the best among those addressing curiosity of those in queue.

Though it would be a long shot, can you hazard guessing what is the likely period EB2 India with PD Oct 2010 would become available? I am weighing some options - one being going back to follow rising economy there rather than being a captive worker here.

Anonymous said...

This is probably the closest predictions I have noticed on the web.

Can I expect EB2 India PD September 22 2006 to be current in July/August 2011?

Rav said...

We expect September 22, 2006 to be current around August or September 2011 visa bulletin. It depends upon spillover. IF we will ahead towards optimistic scenario then August and if towards realistic September.


Anonymous said...

This is probably the closest predictions I have noticed on the web.

Can I expect EB2 India PD September 22 2006 to be current in July/August 2011?

Anonymous said...

Much appreciated on your predections.
My pD is EB3-I 2002 first week of may. When can I expect to be curent my case?

Anonymous said...

Hi!
This site is very helpful. Thank you for creating this site.
Do you think EB3 Philippines with a PD of August 2006 will be current for th FY2011?
Looking forward for your reply. Thank you again.

Anonymous said...

Much appreciated on your predections.
My pD is EB2-I 2007 1st of May. When can I expect to be curent my case?
I think it can be come current only based on Spilling. Considering hte very slow market there is a good change of spilling, will it become current?

Anonymous said...

Sir,
Thanks in advance that I want to know when EB-3 (India) PD June 2003 will be current?
Jo

Anonymous said...

This site is very helpful. My PD is EB2 India 10-May-06.
I cry every day since last 8 months now.
When can I expect EB2 India to move at least 2 days.

Rav said...

PD EB3-I, 8 May 2002 will be current around Aug- Sep 2011. Most probably in Aug 2011.


Anonymous said...

Much appreciated on your predections.
My pD is EB3-I 2002 first week of may. When can I expect to be curent my case?

Rav said...

Thank you. I am glad you find our site helpful. EB3 Philippines with a PD of August 2006 will not be current this FY 2011. You can be on borderline for FY 2012 (i.e. Sep 2012). Good Luck

Anonymous said...

Hi!
This site is very helpful. Thank you for creating this site.
Do you think EB3 Philippines with a PD of August 2006 will be current for th FY2011?
Looking forward for your reply. Thank you again.

Rav said...

I expect EB2-I PD 1st May 2007 will be current in FY 2012 around July 2012. But you never know if EB1 Demand and EB2 ROW demand is very less (which I do not expect, economy has really started picking up) and porting to be reasonable (~3K). You can be current this year, but chances are slim (30 -40%). I really hope you can make it this year. Good Luck.

Anonymous said...

Much appreciated on your predections.
My pD is EB2-I 2007 1st of May. When can I expect to be curent my case?
I think it can be come current only based on Spilling. Considering hte very slow market there is a good change of spilling, will it become current?

Rav said...

Hi Jo:

EB-3 (India) PD June 2003 will not be current for next 5 years. But if we assume that atleast 2000 applicants with PD June 2003 are porting from EB3 to EB2 every year, you can be current in 2.5 years.


Anonymous said...

Sir,
Thanks in advance that I want to know when EB-3 (India) PD June 2003 will be current?
Jo

Rav said...

Check July Visa Bulletin on - 10th June and you will be current. Though you can only expect approval after 1st July 2011. Cheers

Anonymous said...

This site is very helpful. My PD is EB2 India 10-May-06.
I cry every day since last 8 months now.
When can I expect EB2 India to move at least 2 days.

Raj C said...

EB2-India-April 2008 - When do you think will this priority to be current?
Thanks in advance for your help!

Rav said...

@Raj

Somewhere around July 2013. It really depends upon how USCIS would handle post PD July 2007 cases. I would think that USCIS would open gates for few months at start of each fiscal year and then re-open for few moths during spillover season.

There are also some talks that USCIS would use I-140 cases to track post July 2007 cases. But with porting and job changes it is difficult to guess.

If we are lucky, USCIS will have a policy to pre-register I-485 cases in place by then. This will make things crystal clear and we could predict that any movement will only be seen in July when unused visa numbers will be available for spillover.

Anonymous said...

EB2-China-July 2007. When do you think this will be current? Any chance at all within this year? Thanks a lot.

-NJ

Anonymous said...

hi! how about EB3 Phils. with PD May 2006? when will it be current based on your predictions? be this 2011?

Anonymous said...

I was looking at the October 2010 and January 2011 I485-Inventory reports for EB3 Mexico, it seems like the inventory went up from the October report to the January report. Can you please help me understand the sheet? I would think that after approvals the inventory should go down but I don't see it that way.
I was trying to predict how many cases had already been approved.

My PD is October 22 2004.

Thanks for you help.

Great website!!

Rav said...

NJ - Chances are very less (20-30%) for this fiscal year. You would be current around July-September 2012 as per current predictions and I-485 inventory.

Anonymous said...

EB2-China-July 2007. When do you think this will be current? Any chance at all within this year? Thanks a lot.

-NJ

Rav said...

EB3 Philippines with a PD of May 2006 will not be current this FY 2011. You could be current around April-June 2012 based on current predictions. Good Luck.

Anonymous said...

hi! how about EB3 Phils. with PD May 2006? when will it be current based on your predictions? be this 2011?

Anonymous said...

EB3 ROW PD March End 2006, Could you predict when to be current? Thank you for your help.

Anonymous said...

Cm how about mine im under EB3 Phil. PD of sept.2006 when will i expect my PD will be current?

Anonymous said...

Hello CM, it took for me a while searching a site like this one predicting with accuracy the PD's. My PD is March of 2009. I hope I won't wait long enough for it to be current.When will it be current? Thank you very much

Anonymous said...

Hello again CM, I forgot to mention mine is EB3 March of 2009 Philippines. I'm sorry for the lack of info. When can this be current? Thanks again.

Anonymous said...

HI CM, Nice work. I like your site a lot. Your answer might give me some relief. Being atleast near practical is better than being in the dark. Thanks in advance.
My date is September 2007 EB2-I. When will it be current?

Anonymous said...

hi! how about EB3 India with PD Aug 2005? when will it be current based on your predictions? Thanks

Rav said...

This is because cases were recently transferred back to USCIS from local offices (District Offices). Recently USCIS asked local offices to send back all the cases that were pre-adjudicated and were waiting for visa allocation. USCIS started taking this action in late December or early January this year. Usually case that needs additional scrutiny including interviews are usually transferred to a local office and hence are removed from pending inventory. When they come back to USCIS National Service Center (TSC and NSC in this case) are counted back.

Other than this, there are always Consular Processing (CP) cases (though small in number) which are added to I-485 pending inventory as and when dates would become current for these PDs. I have seen this very common among three nations i.e. Mexico, China and Philippines.

Above two factors could always cause inventory to increase from report to report.

I think your PD October 22 2004 would be current around December'11-February'12. Good Luck.


Anonymous said...

I was looking at the October 2010 and January 2011 I485-Inventory reports for EB3 Mexico, it seems like the inventory went up from the October report to the January report. Can you please help me understand the sheet? I would think that after approvals the inventory should go down but I don't see it that way.

I was trying to predict how many cases had already been approved.

My PD is October 22 2004.

Thanks for you help.

Great website!!

Rav said...

I expect you to be current by August-November 2011. Most probably August for now. :)


Anonymous said...

EB3 ROW PD March End 2006, Could you predict when to be current? Thank you for your help.

Rav said...

EB3 Philippines with a PD of Sep 2006 could be current around March-April 2013 based on current predictions. Good Luck

Anonymous said...

Cm how about mine im under EB3 Phil. PD of sept.2006 when will i expect my PD will be current?

Rav said...

I think it will take you atleast 6 year before you will be current. Somewhere around January 2017. Earliest could be around Sep 2016. Qualifying in EB2 for next job would really help you.


Anonymous said...

Hello CM, it took for me a while searching a site like this one predicting with accuracy the PD's. My PD is March of 2009. I hope I won't wait long enough for it to be current.When will it be current? Thank you very much

Anonymous said...

Hello again CM, I forgot to mention mine is EB3 March of 2009 Philippines. I'm sorry for the lack of info. When can this be current? Thanks again.

Rav said...

Thank for your kind words. I am glad you liked our site.

If EB2-I would progress to late Dec 06 or early Jan 07 this year, you would be current around Oct-Dec 2012 depending upon how would USCIS handle post July 2007 cases. But I think somewhere around that time frame.

If USCIS would have a policy to pre-register for I-485 in place by then, then you may have to wait till July 2013. Good Luck.


Anonymous said...

HI CM, Nice work. I like your site a lot. Your answer might give me some relief. Being atleast near practical is better than being in the dark. Thanks in advance.
My date is September 2007 EB2-I. When will it be current?

Rav said...

Not before 9 years for the best case. I would encourage you to look around for an EB2 job if you can qualify for one. EB3 to EB2 porting could bring some relief.

Anonymous said...

hi! how about EB3 India with PD Aug 2005? when will it be current based on your predictions? Thanks

Anonymous said...

I find this site very helpful and most accurate in terms of predicting priority dates for visa bulletin. Thank you so much for the infos. Can you predict when PD of feb. 17, 2006 EB3 Phils will be current? I would appreciate any wise guess or estimate you could provide. Thanks in advance.

Anonymous said...

I appreciate your answer, to be current in August this year sounds very good but unreal to me after waiting for so long. Please keep your helpful site going for everyone. Again, thank you.

Rav said...

I would think somewhere around Feb-March 2012 for your PD based on current predictions. I hope you will find this information helpful.

Anonymous said...

I find this site very helpful and most accurate in terms of predicting priority dates for visa bulletin. Thank you so much for the infos. Can you predict when PD of feb. 17, 2006 EB3 Phils will be current? I would appreciate any wise guess or estimate you could provide. Thanks in advance.

Rav said...

I understand your plight after waiting for so long. USCIS is so far using around 2000-2100 visa numbers every month for ROW. Statutorily they can use 2400. So there is still hope that you can make it this Fiscal Year. Hopefully next week's I-485 inventory would shed some more light.

Anonymous said...

I appreciate your answer, to be current in August this year sounds very good but unreal to me after waiting for so long. Please keep your helpful site going for everyone. Again, thank you.

Anonymous said...

Hi Cm,
according to http://immigration-law.com/
03/09/2011: May 2011 EB-2 Cut-Off Date Substantial Move-Ahead Predicted. Can you please weigh in on this?
Thanks

Rav said...

This is good news. Like we always said that EB1 and EB2-ROW demand could be big driver for this years EB2-IC movement. OH law firm suggests that there are 12000 unused visa numbers available since October 2010. If that is true then we can see movement upto July-August 2006 in coming bulletins well before later spillover would kick in. I do not think all unused numbers will be allocated in May bulletin but we would see some movement in EB2-IC by few weeks. Movement to July 2006 before spillover will be a great plus.

Anonymous said...
Hi Cm,
according to http://immigration-law.com/
03/09/2011: May 2011 EB-2 Cut-Off Date Substantial Move-Ahead Predicted. Can you please weigh in on this?
Thanks

Anonymous said...

I really like your blog and great to see an update with a topic which I care most these days. Could you share some insight on the future for EB3 China? It has been moving faster for the past couple of months. Could it be faster? With my PD Oct 2009, would it be better for me to port to Eb2?

Thanks a lot!
SG

Anonymous said...

thank u very much and more power!

Anonymous said...

yeah same reported here on murthy: http://www.murthy.com/news/n_eb2a11.html

Rav said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Rav said...

I would port to EB2 if possible. EB3-China PD October 2009 will at least take 5-6 years more.

Anonymous said...


I really like your blog and great to see an update with a topic which I care most these days. Could you share some insight on the future for EB3 China? It has been moving faster for the past couple of months. Could it be faster? With my PD Oct 2009, would it be better for me to port to Eb2?

Thanks a lot!
SG

Isha said...

Hi CM,
Thanks for your informative site! Could you please predict when EB2-I March 2010 will be current?

Regards,

RV

Anonymous said...

EB3-China-Feb 2005. When do you think this will be current? Thanks a lot.

Andy said...

Hi CM,

My PD is India EB2 August 2009. By when do you estimate will I be able to apply for my I-485?

Anonymous said...

To the person that says he/she cries everyday because this person's PD is a little behind the current date - You are SO desperate!

If this is what you cry about, then may God give you some REAL PROBLEMS in your life - seriously! Perhaps that will bring you some maturity.

There are so many cheap Indians like you that are lacking in dignity and quality that deserve some serious problems in life!

Anonymous said...

Hi , i have priority date of april 1 2007 under EB2 category. Can you please tell me if my PD will get current in august/september visa bulletin?
Thanks a lot in advance

Anonymous said...

Our priority date is 07th march 2007 - what do you think/predict?

Anonymous said...

Our priority date is 07th march 2007 in EB2 from India- what do you think/predict?

Rav said...

Isha :

EB2-India March 2010 wil take atleast take 4 years to be current assuming EB2-IC will receive 15000 spillover each year.

Rav said...

I was expecting it to be current this year but how demand data is not showing any reduction month after month it suggests that there are lot of CP cases for EB3- China.

I would expect it be current for sure by February 2012. If demand would not increase chances are before that.


Anonymous said...

EB3-China-Feb 2005. When do you think this will be current? Thanks a lot.

Rav said...

I would expect it to be current in three years but how unused visa numbers are available more than expected every year for EB2-IC, it can be way before that. Anytime from July-2013- Sep 2014

Andy said...

Hi CM,

My PD is India EB2 August 2009. By when do you estimate will I be able to apply for my I-485?

Rav said...

Based on recent released data on unused EB1 numbers, you will be current by September 2011.

Anonymous said...

Hi , i have priority date of april 1 2007 under EB2 category. Can you please tell me if my PD will get current in august/september visa bulletin?
Thanks a lot in advance

Rav said...

Same as above. you will be current by August-Sep 2011. If things worked out as we expect then July-2011 is a possibility. Cheers

Anonymous said...

Our priority date is 07th march 2007 in EB2 from India- what do you think/predict?

Anonymous said...

Keep up the good work... My PD is Feb 2006 and I am EB3 Row or Other.. whats the anticipated time in your estimation. Thanks

Rav said...

Are you EB3-Other in ROW category ?

Anonymous said...

Keep up the good work... My PD is Feb 2006 and I am EB3 Row or Other.. whats the anticipated time in your estimation. Thanks

Anonymous said...

Yes, EB3 in Row Category - (All chargeable areas other than listed)

Anonymous said...

Whats your prediction on Feb 2006 PD for Jamaica - EB3

Rav said...

EB3-ROW with PD Feb 2006 should be current by Sep-Nov 2011


Anonymous said...

Keep up the good work... My PD is Feb 2006 and I am EB3 Row or Other.. whats the anticipated time in your estimation. Thanks

Anonymous said...

Yes, EB3 in Row Category - (All chargeable areas other than listed)

Rav said...

Same as above comment. EB3-Jamaica comes under EB3-ROW. You should be current around Sep-Nov 2011

Anonymous said...

Whats your prediction on Feb 2006 PD for Jamaica - EB3

Anonymous said...

Hi Sir. I am a derivative of E3 Philippines and my PD is October 1,2006.When it will be current, based from your calculations. My son turns 22 already .is he still included in the petition of his Father.I 824 was approved whe he was still 18 years old. thanks.

Anonymous said...

my EB3 ROW Priority Date is September 22, 2008. When will it be current?

Thank you.

Rav said...

Your PD should be current by March-April 2013.

If Father has (I assume since I-824 was filed and approved) already filed I-485 for your son and his status is AOS, he is protected by Child Status Protection Act (CSPA) and he will receive his green card no matter how long it takes USCIS to adjudicate his application. That is as long as he remains unmarried. If he gets married before getting his green card he loses that protection.


Hi Sir. I am a derivative of E3 Philippines and my PD is October 1,2006.When it will be current, based from your calculations. My son turns 22 already .is he still included in the petition of his Father.I 824 was approved whe he was still 18 years old. thanks.

Rav said...

We expect it to be current at least by March-April 2013 if we do not see high demand at local offices or addition of more CP cases.

Anonymous said...

my EB3 ROW Priority Date is September 22, 2008. When will it be current?

Thank you.

Anonymous said...

My priority date (EB2-India) is 5th Jan 2007. Do I stand a chance for getting green card in this year's quota/spillover? Thanks in advance.

US said...

I cannot predict on getting green card because that may differ on case to case basis, but you will be current this year for sure.

Anonymous said...
My priority date (EB2-India) is 5th Jan 2007. Do I stand a chance for getting green card in this year's quota/spillover? Thanks in advance.

Anonymous said...

seems like this is the best discussion group on this topic i have come across so far! EB2, PD June 2009. CM, when would you expect it to be current? any suggestions appreciated.

Rav said...

Thank you so much. We will try to provide you as much information as we could so that you can plan your life in US accordingly.

Assuming you are EB2-I with PD June 2009, based on current PERM data we think you can be current in July 2014 as long as EB2-IC would continue to receive 15000 unused visa numbers every year.

Anonymous said...
seems like this is the best discussion group on this topic i have come across so far! EB2, PD June 2009. CM, when would you expect it to be current? any suggestions appreciated.

Anonymous said...

My EB3 ROW Priority Date is January 14, 2009. When will it be current?

Thank you very much.

Anonymous said...

Good Day, great work you are doing here. When a PD becomes current take me through the process that follows please.

Anonymous said...

Hi CM..been reading your blog for quite awhile already, seems like your predictions are always in proximity with the previous official VBs. Great job!!!

I am from Philippines with a PD of August 10, 2005, how sure to the best of your knowledge that it will get current on MAY VB? I hope you predicted it right.

God Bless to those who are waiting....pray without ceasing.

Anonymous said...

Do you think May 1 2007 EB2-I will become current this year, by any chance with the recent EB1 visa numbers coming into EB2?

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the wonderful site. You give peace of mind to lot of suffering souls. Mine is EB2I dec 2007. Any prediction when i can file my 485. Thanks a lot

vatsala said...

My PD is August 31,2008 under EB2. Any suggestions on when I will be able to file I-485

Anonymous said...

Can you please tell when will i be current my priority date is August 15 2005 eb3 rest of the world?

Anonymous said...

My priority date is Nov2002,EB3-India When can I expect?

Rav said...

Based on current data available and extrapolation of PERM data for ROW for FY 2008, I would expect you to be current by April 2013. This may change as and when dates would progress beyond PD July 2007 for EB3-ROW. Add +/- 6-8 months.

Anonymous said...

My EB3 ROW Priority Date is January 14, 2009. When will it be current?

Thank you very much.

Rav said...

Thank you so much for reading our blog. We hope our predictions were helpful.

EB3-Philippines with a PD of August 10, 2005 should be current for May visa bulletin. EB3-P currently has potential to go far beyond 22nd Aug 2005 based on current demand. But it will not progress much because statutory limits does not allow EB3-P to have dates set beyond that of EB3-ROW. So for few coming months EB3-ROW and EB3-P will go hand in hand. It totally depends how much EB3-ROW would move in May Visa bulletin. We expect it to move at least to 15th August 2005 and best case to 22nd August 2005. So in any case you will be current.


Anonymous said...

Hi CM..been reading your blog for quite awhile already, seems like your predictions are always in proximity with the previous official VBs. Great job!!!

I am from Philippines with a PD of August 10, 2005, how sure to the best of your knowledge that it will get current on MAY VB? I hope you predicted it right.

God Bless to those who are waiting....pray without ceasing.

Rav said...

Please see "Predictions for EB2-Category". You have very good chances to be current this fiscal year.

Anonymous said...

Do you think May 1 2007 EB2-I will become current this year, by any chance with the recent EB1 visa numbers coming into EB2?

Rav said...

You are welcome. Somewhere in FY 2012. It could be as early as October 2011 and as late as July 2012.

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the wonderful site. You give peace of mind to lot of suffering souls. Mine is EB2I dec 2007. Any prediction when i can file my 485. Thanks a lot

Rav said...

@vatsala

Somewhere around June-July 2013. Best case will be in first quarter of FY 2013. It totally depends how USCIS would handle post July 2007 cases. If they will do in a controlled manner during first quarter you could be current in Oct-Dec 12. Else wait for spillover in Jul-2013

Rav said...

You have very good chances for this coming month's visa bulletin. If not then for sure in June visa bulletin. Please note that you can only file for I-485 when dates have moved to 22 August 2005 and not when dates are at 15 August 2005. Cheers


Anonymous said...

Can you please tell when will i be current my priority date is August 15 2005 eb3 rest of the world?

Rav said...

We expect you to be current in 1.5 year, around June 2012.

Anonymous said...

My priority date is Nov2002,EB3-India When can I expect?

garry anthony said...

i a, from the philippines with and eb 3 petition. i have a priority date of oct 2006. i am currently employed and waiting for my visa can you give me atime frame when will my priority date be current, so that i can plan for this year and my employer can train an apprentice to do my work

Rav said...

@garry anthony I would think some where around April 2013.

Anonymous said...

Hi!

I am from the Philippines under the category I-140 EB3. My priority date is February 2009. Do you have any predictions to how long will be my wait for the visa? Do you have any predictions to PD for ROW at the end of 2011? Worst and Best case scenarios? Thanks

Rohit said...

Hi,

First, thanks for much need info and your prompt reply. I am visiting it for the first time and found it very useful. Hope you can help me with some prediction. Thanks in advance.

PD is May 2007. I am from India.
Can you predict with new info (12000 for EB2 category), when would my care be current.

Regards,
Rohit

Anonymous said...

hello sir can you please predict when will my priority date be current? im eb3 philippines,pd of march 10, 2006???

Anonymous said...

2006 will be many, many years from now.
move along.

Anonymous said...

greencards are more precious than gold.

Anonymous said...

maybe 20 years from now

Anonymous said...

if your PD is beyond august 2005, forget it.
wait in line.

Anonymous said...

Hello! My PD is NOV. 2005 is there any chances that my PD will be current? thank you

Anonymous said...

Your timely and accurate estimations are greatly appreciated. Nice work. I have been struggling to find reliable resource for VB predictions and it seems like I have found it.
What would be your estimate for EB3 Worlwide PD: Sept 25, 2005? Thanks in advance.

Tindla said...

Hi , This website seems to provide a very close estimate about the movement of PD.Keep up the good work.

I have my PD as Sept 2007 and I am EB2-India. Can you predict when I will be eligbile to apply for my I-485?

Thanks in advance,
SR

Anonymous said...

Read the following: I wish this comes true..
http://shusterman.com/newsletterusimmigrationapril2011.html#b

EB-2 Visa Availability – Charlie Oppenheim, Chief, Immigrant Visa Control and Reporting Division, U.S. Department of State, informed AILA of a dramatic reduction in the use of EB-1 numbers. He stated:

“[US]CIS says they have seen a decline in filings, and does not expect a change in the number use pattern. Therefore, this decline in EB-1 number use will allow me to begin having those ‘otherwise unused’ numbers drop down and be available for use in the EB-2 category. Based on current indications, that would mean that at least 12,000 additional numbers will be available to the EB-2 category. This situation will allow me to advance the India EB-2 cut-off date for May. The reason being that all ‘otherwise unused’ numbers are provided strictly in priority date order, and the India demand has the largest concentration of early dates.”

According to our calculations, EB-2 priority dates for India and China may advance not just weeks or months, but years!

Anonymous said...

Hi CM,
Your blog is very informative. could you please tell me when will be Aug 2006 PD current for ROW?

Rav said...

This is wishful thinking. Dates will not advance by years. There are at least 37000 EB2-IC cases pending before July 2007 and EB3-EB2 porting are other numbers that will be added as date progress, there is no way date will progress beyond October 2007 even in most optimistic scenario. Yes, dates could become current for a while but I do not think USCIS would repeat July 2007 fiasco. They will rather move dates in more controlled manner.

Anonymous said...

Read the following: I wish this comes true..
http://shusterman.com/newsletterusimmigrationapril2011.html#b

According to our calculations, EB-2 priority dates for India and China may advance not just weeks or months, but years

Rav said...

@Tumba Thank you. Hopefully this current year 2011 (please note current year not fiscal year). But in worst case July 2012.

Rav said...

Thank you and we hope we will be able to predict dates as close as possible.

EB3- ROW with PD 25 September 2005 should be current in June visa bulletin. Worst case July bulletin. Good Luck.

Anonymous said...

Your timely and accurate estimations are greatly appreciated. Nice work. I have been struggling to find reliable resource for VB predictions and it seems like I have found it.
What would be your estimate for EB3 Worlwide PD: Sept 25, 2005? Thanks in advance.

Rav said...

If it is in EB3-ROW, it will be current before Sep 2011.

Anonymous said...

Hello! My PD is NOV. 2005 is there any chances that my PD will be current? thank you

Rav said...

Somewhere around April-June 2012

Anonymous said...

hello sir can you please predict when will my priority date be current? im eb3 philippines,pd of march 10, 2006???

Rav said...

@Rohit You should be current by Sep 2011 unless we would progress towards worst-case scenario.

Rav said...

In each case it will at least take 5-6 years.

Anonymous said...

Hi!

I am from the Philippines under the category I-140 EB3. My priority date is February 2009. Do you have any predictions to how long will be my wait for the visa? Do you have any predictions to PD for ROW at the end of 2011? Worst and Best case scenarios? Thanks

Anonymous said...

is there a possibility of having a spillover in the philippines? from EB2 to EB3?

Thanks for patiently answering all the queries. Great site by the way!

Anonymous said...

Hi!I'm Lee from South Korea. My priority date March 12,2009. I want to know if when my priority date to be current. Thank you.

cutiepie said...

@CM


Thank you for your prompt reply. I'm E3 phils by the way. I hope this is my year.

Anonymous said...

@cutiepie
Hi cutiepie. Im also from the philippines under E3. Been waiting for quite some time.. When's your PD btw?

cutiepie said...

My PD is Nov 2005 under E3 Phils. Done with my interview last 2008. The CO did issue visa due to JOB OFFER was not updated. I'm hoping that this 2011 is our year to get our VISA.May i know your PD too?

Anonymous said...

I hope and pray that E3 Philippines with PD 2006 December will be current til the end of 2011. It gives some relief if I read someone having the same PD as mine. At least, its not only me waiting. Dear Lord, please hear our prayers.

Anonymous said...

Hi! Thanks for the great predictions. I'm EB3 ROW PD= September 2006. When should i expect to be current?

Anonymous said...

My PD is December 2008 on EB3-1 and am UK national. I'm thinking it's at least a 5 year wait to get a green card?

Anonymous said...

Hi,

Thank you for the great help you're providing. Could you please estimate when EB3-ROW be current for January 2006.
Thanks again for this great site.

Anonymous said...

Just a little bit more

Rav said...

There is no possibility of having any spillover from EB2 to EB3-P for longtime. If any spillover will happen it will first go to EB3-ROW until they will become current.

Anonymous said...

is there a possibility of having a spillover in the philippines? from EB2 to EB3?

Thanks for patiently answering all the queries. Great site by the way!

Rav said...

Hi Lee:

Some where around September 2013. Good Luck

Anonymous said...

Hi!I'm Lee from South Korea. My priority date March 12,2009. I want to know if when my priority date to be current. Thank you.

Rav said...

@cutiepie

You should be current somewhere around Sep 2011.

Rav said...

Your PD will not be current until September 2013. Good Luck.

Anonymous said...

I hope and pray that E3 Philippines with PD 2006 December will be current til the end of 2011. It gives some relief if I read someone having the same PD as mine. At least, its not only me waiting. Dear Lord, please hear our prayers.

Rav said...

I would say somewhere around April-June 2012. Good Luck.

Anonymous said...

Hi! Thanks for the great predictions. I'm EB3 ROW PD= September 2006. When should i expect to be current?

Rav said...

Well may be not. You should get in less than 3 years. Lets hope for the best. :)

Anonymous said...

My PD is December 2008 on EB3-1 and am UK national. I'm thinking it's at least a 5 year wait to get a green card?

Rav said...

Should be somewhere around August-November 2011. Let's see. Most probably Sep 2011.

Anonymous said...

Hi,

Thank you for the great help you're providing. Could you please estimate when EB3-ROW be current for January 2006.
Thanks again for this great site.

Iimhelp said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Anonymous said...

Great Site!

My PD is EB2-India 8/11/2006, when can I expect it to be current? Thanks very much in advance.

Anonymous said...

Immihelp.... where do you see the may bulletin.... i have searched all over and have not found one..

Anonymous said...

I have EB2 with PD of November 2006 , by when do you think it will become current. Also is it OK to be Out of job on EAD when PD is current.

HopefulUSRN said...

Hi there CM,

2 thumbs up for your predictions CM. I just wanna know what do you think of my Priority date of September 29,2005 under EB3 Philippines? When will it become current? Your prediction is highly appreciated! God bless always!

Raj Malhotra said...

Hi CM,

I have priority date of October 27, 2006 EB2 India, when do u think it will be current ?

Thanks
Rahul

Anonymous said...

I have PD Jan 2008. When will I be current? Thanks for your prediction.

GD

Anonymous said...

I have PD Jan 2008 EB-2 India. When will I be current? Thanks for your prediction.

GD

Anonymous said...

When do you think will that May vb come out?

For how long will government shutdown will be?

Will that affect eb3 rest of the world?

Rav said...

You will be current in next visa bulletin. Hang in there.

Anonymous said...

Great Site!

My PD is EB2-India 8/11/2006, when can I expect it to be current? Thanks very much in advance.

Rav said...

Most probably Next bulletin. If not then in June -July for sure.

You should have PERM advertised job or job that has at least 50% similar job description, day your I-485 is approved. In some pre-adjudicated cases, you will not get an interview and your case will be approved. But you are expected to have similar job on the day green card is approved and you should continue working for the employer atleast for 6 or more months.

Even if you get a GC without having a job, this could be again come up during naturalization.

Check this out on AC21 portability --> Click Here



Anonymous said...

I have EB2 with PD of November 2006 , by when do you think it will become current. Also is it OK to be Out of job on EAD when PD is current.

Rav said...

@HopefulUSRN I am hopeful that it will be current somewhere around June-August 2011. Good Luck and God Bless.

Rav said...

@Rahul Somewhere around May-July 2011. Good Luck.

Rav said...

@GD
I would think somewhere in first quarter of FY 2012 or July-2012. It totally depends how much movement EB2-IC will see this fiscal year.

Rav said...

Chances for tomorrow are very slim. With government shutdown happening, VB and Immigration is last thing on anyone's mind. Employees at DOS must be more worried about furloughs, shutdown procedures and non-paid time out of work. Worst shutdown that has ever happened in US was for 21 days. Hopefully this will be taken care in few days. Let's see


Anonymous said...

When do you think will that May vb come out?

For how long will government shutdown will be?

Will that affect eb3 rest of the world?

Pradeep said...

Hello

Thanks for your comments/replies to everybdody!!

When can I expect my EB2 India priority date July 22 2007 to become current?

Thank you!
Pradeep

Anonymous said...

Shut down of government? Oh no!!!! Nooooooooo!!!!!

Anonymous said...

more about shutdown. Seems like they are trying to avoid it let's see what happens.
http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9METK1O0.htm

Anonymous said...

I am optimistic that E3 Row and Ph with PD 2006 will be current this 2011.Cheers.

Rav said...

Demand Data released which is a good sign.

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf

Anonymous said...

Good morning CM, it's the first time that see such a nice website and so nice a person that read and replies everything post..... Thank you so much for your great great work.

My PD (for EB2) is Oct 2009, would you give me a prediction when my PD will be current? I appreciate.

Have a nice day!

archana said...

Hello,

Very useful and very accurate predictions on this website.

Our PD is EB2 Ind Feb 2008. When do you think our PD will be curret again ?

Thanks in advance.

Unknown said...

My PD is Sept 11 2006 EB2 (India), what are the chances of it getting current in May?

Anonymous said...

@Anonymous
Forget to mention this is a EB2 in China. Thank you.

Anonymous said...

@Anonymous

Sorry

Anonymous said...
Good morning CM, it's the first time that see such a nice website and so nice a person that read and replies everything post..... Thank you so much for your great great work.

My PD (for EB2 China) is Oct 2009, would you give me a prediction when my PD will be current? I appreciate.

Have a nice day!

Anonymous said...

My PD is Sep 25, 2007 EB-2 India. When Can I expect to file I-485

Raj Malhotra said...

Thanks CM for the optimistic prediction, I also hope that my and several others date will become current soon. Any ideas when the May Bulletin will be out ?

-Rahul

CM said...

We should remember that this is an unusual visa bulletin which is going to progres dates optimistically for EB2-IC. Some kind of communication has to happen between USCIS and DOS before they can come up with PD cut-off for these categories. With Government shutdown looming it is very unlikely that employees will be completing any communication in timely manner. There is no vested interest here. Visa bulletin will come out next week if shutdown is prevailed by end of today else we have to wait until government will re-open.

Happy Friday!!!

CM said...

May Bulletin Released --- http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_5424.html

Anonymous said...

This is a big disappointment. CM,based on this May VB what is your updated prediction for EB2- for Sept'11 VB?

Anonymous said...

hi CM, as you have predicted above the EB2 can reach Dec 2006. but to one user who has PD Sep 22, 2006you said it will be current by Aug 2011. Which one you think would be true? My PD is July 2006, what can you predict for that?

Raj Malhotra said...

Yeah I was hoping for a little bigger leap. At least there was a movement. Why do you think the change is so small ? Any predictions for June / July VB ?

-Rahul

Anonymous said...

I'm CURRENT Yahooooooooooo!!!!!!
After SIX LONG YEARS it's my turn!!!
Thank you and GOODBYE!!!!!

Anonymous said...

I'm current PD july29th 2005 now what should I do?????

KK said...

What explains this guarded movement of only 2 months in respect of EB2 India? Are they hyper-imagining porting from EB3 to EB2 India? Are we staring at wastage of visa numbers this year?

Anonymous said...

Hi, May 2011 bulletin is realesed. What an accurate perdiction CM made. Waiting perdiction for Jun 2011, beleiving the same accuracy again.
Thanks CM helping us in planning the future!

Rav said...

@Pradeep

It is difficult to predict either in July or August 2011.

Rav said...

If PD around January 2006 then for sure but others we need to check.


Anonymous said...

I am optimistic that E3 Row and Ph with PD 2006 will be current this 2011.Cheers.

Rav said...

EB2-C Oct 2009 should be current in 4-5 years.

Anonymous said...

Good morning CM, it's the first time that see such a nice website and so nice a person that read and replies everything post..... Thank you so much for your great great work.

My PD (for EB2) is Oct 2009, would you give me a prediction when my PD will be current? I appreciate.

Have a nice day!

Rav said...

@archana

Lets see it is difficult to predict based on DOS's conservative approach but you could be current anywhere from October 2011 to Sep 2012.

Rav said...

@phxboy

We should target August - Sep 2011 bulletin. Most optimistically July bulletin.

Rav said...

Same as above.


Anonymous said...

My PD is Sep 25, 2007 EB-2 India. When Can I expect to file I-485

Rav said...

Please see " EB2 Movement for FY 2011 - Analysis Based on May Visa Bulletin."


Anonymous said...

This is a big disappointment. CM,based on this May VB what is your updated prediction for EB2- for Sept'11 VB?

Rav said...

That prediction was on March 23 when we had no news about expected 12000 unused visa number spillover. Our May prediction was updated on 29th March based on new news.

Right now we are back to square one. Sep 2006 should be current around Aug- Sep 2011. Best case July 2011.

Anonymous said...

hi CM, as you have predicted above the EB2 can reach Dec 2006. but to one user who has PD Sep 22, 2006you said it will be current by Aug 2011. Which one you think would be true? My PD is July 2006, what can you predict for that?

Rav said...

@Rahul

Please EB2 Movement for FY 2011 - Analysis based on May Visa Bulletin

Rav said...

We are happy for you. Good Luck and God Bless.


Anonymous said...

I'm CURRENT Yahooooooooooo!!!!!!
After SIX LONG YEARS it's my turn!!!
Thank you and GOODBYE!!!!!

Rav said...

If you have filed for I-485 already please wait for 15 days or so after 1st May before you can open a SR.

Anonymous said...

I'm current PD july29th 2005 now what should I do?????

Rav said...

@KK

Please see " EB2 Movement for FY 2011 - Analysis based on May Visa Bulletin"

Rav said...

Thank you. We hope we will continue to predict with this accuracy in future.

I will traveling for few next week with limited access to Internet. I would come with prediction for June Visa Bulletin once I am back. I would try to reply to comments as and when possible. cheers

Anonymous said...

Hi, May 2011 bulletin is realesed. What an accurate perdiction CM made. Waiting perdiction for Jun 2011, beleiving the same accuracy again.
Thanks CM helping us in planning the future!

Anonymous said...

It's really a great site and it's like one stop shop to get all the information. I’ve forwarded this URL to many of our friends and colleagues.
Thank you so much for putting all the information at one place and I admire your passion. My PD is 8/10 but I do not expect my GC at least in the next 3 to 4 years.
Wanted to hear your comments once PD goes beyond July 2007 for India. Don't you think India / China EB2 will be current once it goes beyond July-2007? I'm really hoping for that..Hope Sai Baba blesses us and people can file I-485.

Anonymous said...

Hi CM,

Good to know about this site, its been really helpful to those who patiently wait for years.
My Pd Feb. 2006,Eb3-Philippines. When can i expect to be current?
Thanks in advance.

nursedubai

Anonymous said...

2006 is still a very long wait ahead.

Anonymous said...

have a nice and enjoyable trip!!!!! your prediction for E3Ph for May 2011 VB was really exact. I really enjoyed reading your responses to all questions posted in here. It gives some relief for persons like me who is patiently waiting for my PD to be current.I hope and pray that in coming VB for this year 2011 , E3Ph will jump more than 6 weeks!!!!!!

Anonymous said...

PD April 2006... When can I expect to be current??? VJMJ23

Pradeep said...

Dear CM, Thank you for your reply! It is appreciated.

You answered "@Pradeep
It is difficult to predict either in July or August 2011" for my question "When can July 2007-EB2-India become current"

#1) Are you guessing that it might be in July or August 2011?

#2) Is it a wise decision to change employer at this stage? I heard that most of the LCs are getting audited and that it is taking 2 years for LC approval if it is audited and ~1 year if it is not audited? Based on this it doesn't look like a good decision to change employers now? What is your advice?

Thank you !!
@CM

Anonymous said...

When will PD July 2007 and November 2007 EB3 Philippines be current? I appreciate your response. Thank you.

Unknown said...

Hello, My PD is April 2009 EB3 ROW; would you kindly predict when I should become current? My workplace is *very frustrating* and the only thing keeping me is I don't want to throw away my PD and start all over.

Anonymous said...

hi!

I find this site very interesting, im from the philippines w/ PD January 3, 2007 EB3, when will i be current

thanks

Anonymous said...

My PD is August 2006 under EB3 philippines, will it be current this FY 2011..

Anonymous said...

Hello CM. This is perhaps the most precise site based on VB prediction. My priority date falls on Jan 19,2006. When do you think can my PD be current? Your insight will be greatly appreciated...thanks...

Anonymous said...

Hi CM,

My PD is April 2008 and country India, let me know when will it be current.

Andy said...

Thanks CM

Thats what I was hoping for. Really appreciate your feedback

@CM

Anonymous said...

hi there,

I am EB3,my PD is 9/22/2006 and I am listed in "All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed" , when it will be current any idea?

Man! your predictions are dead-accurate!

Anonymous said...

Hi, i got a august 2007 PD EB3 philippines, when will it be current?? Thank you so much

Anonymous said...

Hi, My priority date is EB3 India May 29, 2002. When do you think it will become current and how much longer after becoming current, I could expect my GC? Any advise on porting to EB-2 at this late in the game?

Anonymous said...

HI

My priority dat is August 15 2005. I will be current in May. I would like to know, how long does it take to get my green card. My wife, son and me.?

Will it be a good idea to buy that airlines tickets, becuase they are cheap now, im planning to by for June 22?

Do you guys think government shutdown will happen?

Thanks

Anonymous said...

i think you're almost there, good for you,good luck!

Anonymous said...

my pd is january 30,2006 philippines eb3....when i can possibly current?tanx

Anonymous said...

hi, this is by far the best blogsite i've ever read. Your predictions are so accurate, been a silent reader for long.. Thank you very much for your time and patience, you've been of great help to all of us!

God Bless you always!

By the way i am from philippines, would you know when will be my PD be current, my pd is on March 10, 2006. Thank you so much.

Anonymous said...

this is hannahlu!

hi, this is by far the best blogsite i've ever read. Your predictions are so accurate, been a silent reader for long.. Thank you very much for your time and patience, you've been of great help to all of us!

God Bless you always!

By the way i am from philippines, would you know when will be my PD be current, my pd is on March 10, 2006 EB3. Thank you so much.

Anonymous said...

@hannahlu
using the website calculator, you have to wait for 1 year and 3 months more counting from jan 5 2011,that is 11 months more to wait,good for you ur almost there, me,4 more years to wait, hoping there'll be some changes on the movements,goodluck!

Anonymous said...

@hannalu

using the website calculator, you have to wait for 11 more months, good for you, hoping for some changes on the movements, goodluck?

Anonymous said...

Hello.

My PD is already current by May 2011 as per the recently released VB. My question is, when shall I expect for my packet 4 or appointment schedule to arrive?? Will it be in May or this month?

Thanks

Anonymous said...

Hello ,
My priority date is November 6th 2006 - EB2 India. When will it be current ? Is it possible in June 2011 bulletin ?

Thanks in advance

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