For FY 2012, EB3-ROW-M-P is expected to move together similar to the movement that was seen for FY 2011. Based on available I-485 inventory, last released demand data, and hidden demand (or Consular Processing demand) that was observed in FY 2011, total EB3-M-P demand until 15th November 2006, will be 34,674. Based on annual allocation for EB3-ROW-M-P, visa number available will be 29,128 +2803 + 2803 = 34,734. Please see table below for detailed calculation. EB3-ROW-M-P is expected to reach 15-November-2006 for FY 2012 based on currently available data. This projection will be updated as cut-off dates will progress in FY 2012.
For FY 2012, EB3-ROW will only use 24,733 visas; EB3-M will use 3,024 visas and EB3-P will end up using 6,917 visa numbers. I-485 demand (or AOS or visible demand) from the inventory that is expected to clear in FY 2012 is 21507, 2326 and 5321 respectively for ROW, Mexico and Philippines in EB3 category.
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| Last Updated - 22 August 2011 |
* - Please note that for FY 2011, there was change in demand from inventory to inventory, every quarter. From October 2010 to September 2011, at least 7194 demand for previous already current PDs were added all together. These numbers accounted for at least 50% of increase in demand from inventory to inventory. If this is again observed for FY 2012, cut-off date is expected to reach only until PD July 2006 for EB3-ROW-M-P. We are hoping since most of the cases from LO are now returned to National Service Centers this is less unlikely, but we will need to keep a close eye at difference in demand that may evolve from inventory to inventory,
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59 comments:
If in the next fiscal year it will reach Nov 15, 2006, then monthly movement will be 4 weeks more or less?
one year advance on every new fiscal year. its good than having no movement at all.
Hi CM,
If you said that movements will be up til Nov. 2006 this FY 2012, so, it does mean that we can see 2006 movements next VB?
It may change depending upon demand for each month. like for this month because of high EB3-P demand, we are just expecting 2 week movement.
No it will take 2 months to cross 2006 because of high EB3-P demand of around 1350 to cross 2006.
hi cm ! good day! i want to ask how about the eb3 phil when will be the january 30, 2006 will be current because u have a new calculations..thank you vey much...
i hope this will be the trend.comparing from the other site this is the only forum which is always accurate with their prediction,nice job CM.so there is a bigger chance that sept. 2006 will be current for 2012FY?
CM,
Thanks a ton, at least we can plan ahead with our lives...
Thank you for your kind words.
Chances are September 2006 are good so far unless we start seeing increases in pending cases from inventory to inventory.
when do you think 31Aug2006 will be current? thanks!
pacman,
What visa are you holding?
AGUSTUS,
EB3 P
PRIORITY DATE SEPT,2006
HI,
Why carry case from Texas to New York (April 2010)?
My PD is EB3 ROW September 2006
thank you
I will think around July-August 2012.
For more background check and interview.
why do you move so soon, when my PD is not up to date? Interview will be made only at the time when will my PD date? Is the possibility that the interview take place or will be 100%?
Thank you very much
Sometimes you will not receive interview and move was to get more information about you and your employer from local offices.
thank you
priority date is feb 2004 but no news yet any idea when there will be miracle???
Hi CM, For EB3-P You account 1350 to cross 2006. Did you account 13,550 (demand prior to 2007) to get into FY2012 movement to November 15, 2006 ?
Is yours an EB3 ROW or Eb3-P CP case?
Yes I did..
Please ignore my earlier comment. With change in demand data for EB3 - P in October VB to 13550, this will impact movement for EB3 ROW- M-P for FY 2012. We will have to update and recalculate estimation for FY 2012. Thank you for bringing this to our notice. This is definitely not good news for EB3- ROW
hello cm, my pd is july 2007 eb3 phils. do you have any idea how long before it would reach my pd. thanks
3 years from now at least.
my PD is August 2006 under EB 3 Phils. Any idea when Ill be current? I filed it under Consular Processing. Thanks!
hi cm,
With the current movement of visa bulletin,based on the GC CALCULATOR, do you still think I have to wait for 8 mons ?
PD FEB 2006 EB3 PHIL
thanks a lot for your very informative site
hi cm...my pd is aug8 2006 phil..when will it be current???thanks cm..
hi! im a physical therapist holding an H1B visa with a PD 2009 schedule A EB3. How long do you think will I have to wait to get my green card or the visa to be current. Thank you!
when do you think may 2006 be current?
If this bill passes, ROW-M-P will become unavailable immediately. The bill only provides 15% of the visas to ROW-M-P and that 15% would be already taken by the time this bill becomes a law.
Call the house congressmen to vote aganist the bill 3012, which is a totally night mare to EB3-row. Only indian applicants benefit.
The right choice is to awake all the applicants from row, philiphin and mexico, call the congressmen to vote aganist the bill 3012, which is so unfair to the rest of the world. The population of indian is 20% of the world and they want 85% of the Green Card numbers, what a joke.
HR3012 is a JOKE! Vote against it. Instead of this bill, why not go for VISA RECAPTURE?
HR3012 is being used by some politicians for their own sake,why waste time with such a useless bill? Think again,if that happens,America will stink to the maximum level!lol!
Indians are 20% of world - agreed. But among skilled immigrant category admitted to US they are 85%. HR-3012 will do away with the discrimination faced by Indians all these years. I know truth hurts. But free lunches do end.
hello cm, my pd is October 20 2007, eb3 mex. do you have any idea how long before it would reach my pd. thanks
Hello,
First and foremost thank you for posting such a helpful article and many others on your website.
Secondly, I would like to request if a renewed version of this article can be posted with most recent demand data.
Many thanks,
Atleast 2-2.5 years from today.
Definitely, I plan to update it soon.
Many thanks! anxiously looking forward to it.
Hi CM,
I know it must be a daunting task to keep this site upto date but you are doing a great job.
I am curious if there is any update on this thread yet? Or if it has been address else where on the site.
Many Thanks!
Hi CM, my PD is oct 25, 2006 EB3 phils, can you please give me an idea on how long do I have to wait before my pd will become current. Thank you very much!!
Isabel, you may need to wait at least Jan-Feb 2013 to get current.
Hi CM, can you please tell me the CSPA age of my child if her is born June 19, 1988. eb3 petition Philippines was filed Sept. 13, 2006 with PD Sept. 11, 2006 if it will be current December 2012? Thank you.
Hi CM, Can you please tell me the CSPA age of my child if she is born June 19, 1988 with eb3 Philippines petition filed Sept. 13, 2006 and PD Sept. 11, 2006 granted that it becomes current by November 2012? Thank you.
Please see my reply to your earlier comment.
Hi CM;
First, thank you very much for the great analysis.
Second, when do you think EB3 ROW PD July,2006 would become current. Can it be before Sep, 2012?
Thanks
Guest
Hi CM;
When do you think PD July 22, 2006 for EB3 Philippines would become current?
It will be just around that time.
Thanks CM
hi CM
MY PD IS APRIL 18 2006 and now is april 6th is current for 2006 when do i expect my green card i am eb3 row april 18
CM, you mean due to you're conversations with the other Bloggers you said that the 2007 PD will have to wait for 2 to 3 more years? why? is there a chance of retrogretion again? my PD is Eb3 Dec 2007 Pilippines.
Dear my pd 28 feb 2007 eb3 pakistan when it wud b current
Hi CM, my PD is August 7, 2006. Would it become current by October 2012 visa bulletin?
Hi CM, my PD is August 7, 2006 EB3 Philippines, would it become current by October 2012 visa bulletin?
hi CM!
if my PD is APRIL 2007 Philippines, when will it be current?
Hi CM
My pd is July 2007 Mexico eb3 when will it be current
Hello CM. please help no know my case is almost hopeless. I have a PD of oct 2009 eb3 phil. Do i have to wait like 10 more years? Please reply. What do you think?
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