Wednesday, March 16, 2011

May 2011 Visa Bulletin Predictions - EB Category


Wednesday, March 16, 2011 | , , , , ,

Updated 03/29/2011 - Based on recently released data

Here is the prediction for May 2011 Visa Bulletin. We should see following movements in each category as long as USCIS/DOL would use visa numbers for each category as per statutory allocations.

Predictions

  • EB3- China could advance to 08 April 2004

  • EB3-Philippines could advance to 22 August 2005.

  • EB3-Mexico could advance to 15 August 2004.

  • EB3-ROW could advance to 22 August 2005.

  • EB2 will be current for ROW, Mexico and Philippines.

  • EB3-India could advance to 15 April 2002.

  • EB2-India would see movement till 15 December 2006 (based on EB1 spillover of 12000, half yearly EB2-demand and half-yearly unused EB4 and EB5 numbers).

  • EB2-China could advance to 15 December 2006.


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262 comments:

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Rav said...

I would reply to every comment by Monday. I am still travelling will little access to the internet. I apologise for the delay.

Anonymous said...

To CM

Thank you. You're of being help to all of us. Hoping for a much better movement the coming months, let's hope for the best. In the meantime, let's all enjoy what we have right now, because once we get there it'll be work work work. =) Enjoy your travel.

Hannahlu

Anonymous said...

Dear CM, how i wish you are the one giving the PD.With all the queries, heartaches, pains of waiting, etc, being express in your site, you might have a soft heart to move all the PDs faster or make it all current.....
Have a safe and enjoyable trip. We miss your responses.

Anonymous said...

Thank you God for the appointment. Such a long time to wait and now finally on the way.

anonymous said...

Could you predict when EB3, Row Feb.9th 2007 will be courrent? Thanks

anonymous said...

Could you predict when EB3, Row Feb. 9th 2007 will be courrent?

Anonymous said...

how about a prediction please on EB3 ROW. PD 1st week Jan 2007?

Many thanks, great website.

Rav said...

Thank you and we are glad that you like our site. If there is anything you want us to cover please feel free to suggest.

I really doubt that EB2-IC will become current for everyone even if PD will cross July 2007. DOS is going to very careful about opening the gates for everyone since they were criticized heavily after July 2007 fiasco. They will move dates in a controlled manner by 4-5 months so that they have enough buffer for complete year for EB2-I. In case of other countries, the movement may depend upon their historical inventory . Dates would usually move in first quarter for regular intake and in last quarter during spillover.

But before that I expect USCIS to have rule on pre-registration for I-485 petitions in place. Else USCIS/DOS can be in a complete mess due to unknown demand. We have already started seeing this in a way with with EB3-EB2 upgrades. They have no clue.


Anonymous said...

It's really a great site and it's like one stop shop to get all the information. I’ve forwarded this URL to many of our friends and colleagues.
Thank you so much for putting all the information at one place and I admire your passion. My PD is 8/10 but I do not expect my GC at least in the next 3 to 4 years.
Wanted to hear your comments once PD goes beyond July 2007 for India. Don't you think India / China EB2 will be current once it goes beyond July-2007? I'm really hoping for that..Hope Sai Baba blesses us and people can file I-485.

Rav said...

@nursedubai

I would assume somewhere around March 2012. Good Luck.

Rav said...

Thank you. We hope everyone is out of this mess as soon as possible. In coming bulletin we expect EB3-P to advance by 5 weeks. Cheers.

Anonymous said...

have a nice and enjoyable trip!!!!! your prediction for E3Ph for May 2011 VB was really exact. I really enjoyed reading your responses to all questions posted in here. It gives some relief for persons like me who is patiently waiting for my PD to be current.I hope and pray that in coming VB for this year 2011 , E3Ph will jump more than 6 weeks!!!!!!

Rav said...

@VJMJ23 Which category and country?

Rav said...

@Pradeep

1) Yes it was August or September 2011 before May visa bulletin was released. Now with recent advancement, it is very difficult to predict whether you will be current for this fiscal year. Best case will be that you are on the borderline for this year. DOS is getting very careful and conservative on movements of PD due to unknown EB3 to EB2 upgrades.

2)PERMs are not getting audited as much as they were few months ago. It is taking only 1-2 months for them to be approved. To change or not is upto you, but if I was you I would wait until August 2011, after September visa bulletin is released in order to make any decision. We would have some idea in July as soon as August bulletin is released. Check back then. Keep in mind whole PERM process takes from recruitment to approval around 5-6 months.

Rav said...

July and November 2007 will be current around July 2014, around same time frame.


Anonymous said...

When will PD July 2007 and November 2007 EB3 Philippines be current? I appreciate your response. Thank you.

Rav said...

@wag

EB3 ROW April 2009 should be current around July 2013. If your I-140 is approved, you can transfer your Priority Date from this application to new application if you can find a new job that is willing to restart your green card. Search for 'I-140' under categories and read "How to recapture PD from previously approved I-140?"

Rav said...

We expect it around August 2013.

Anonymous said...

hi!

I find this site very interesting, im from the philippines w/ PD January 3, 2007 EB3, when will i be current

thanks

Rav said...

It will not be current this year. It will be current in FY 2013 around January 2013.

Anonymous said...

My PD is August 2006 under EB3 philippines, will it be current this FY 2011..

Rav said...

Around July 2014


Anonymous said...

Hi, i got a august 2007 PD EB3 philippines, when will it be current?? Thank you so much

Rav said...

I think you can be current in January 2012 - worst case. Chances before that are high. You can look into porting but my advise would be hang in until 6 more months. You have nothing to lose. 6 months is worst case. Nominal time for PERM to get approved from start to end is 6 month. PERM processing time has already started to slump. What if you are roped into endless audit wait? Please refrain. If you were December 2002, I would have recommended but not you.


Anonymous said...

Hi, My priority date is EB3 India May 29, 2002. When do you think it will become current and how much longer after becoming current, I could expect my GC? Any advise on porting to EB-2 at this late in the game?

Rav said...

It can take one month to 3-4 months to process your green card once it will become current. You can travel outside US but I will wait and see if they need your FP and Medical Examination again. I would also ask your friend to check your US mail regularly for any RFE or appointments. Most important, please make sure AP is renewed and is valid through out your trip outside US.

My personal opinion, if it is not an emergency trip, postpone it until you will get green card. Regards.


Anonymous said...

HI

My priority dat is August 15 2005. I will be current in May. I would like to know, how long does it take to get my green card. My wife, son and me.?

Will it be a good idea to buy that airlines tickets, becuase they are cheap now, im planning to by for June 22?

Do you guys think government shutdown will happen?

Thanks

Rav said...

January 2012 is your month.

Anonymous said...

my pd is january 30,2006 philippines eb3....when i can possibly current?tanx

Rav said...

@hannahlu

Dear Hannah Lu, thank you for kind words and wishes for travel. Please feel free to ask any questions.

As of now March 2006 should be current in April 2012. Good Luck and God Bless.

Rav said...

looks like you got an appointment. Good Luck. If not then you should receive it as soon as possible. But appointment will be in May. Cheers


Anonymous said...

Hello.

My PD is already current by May 2011 as per the recently released VB. My question is, when shall I expect for my packet 4 or appointment schedule to arrive?? Will it be in May or this month?

Thanks



Anonymous said...

Thank you God for the appointment. Such a long time to wait and now finally on the way.

Rav said...

Not in June 2011 or even in July. I feel you have to wait until August or September 2011.

Anonymous said...

Hello ,
My priority date is November 6th 2006 - EB2 India. When will it be current ? Is it possible in June 2011 bulletin ?

Thanks in advance

Rav said...

Lol I wish I had that kind of power to make it current but unfortunately not. :)

Anonymous said...

Dear CM, how i wish you are the one giving the PD.With all the queries, heartaches, pains of waiting, etc, being express in your site, you might have a soft heart to move all the PDs faster or make it all current.....
Have a safe and enjoyable trip. We miss your responses.

Rav said...

Around June-July 2012.


anonymous said...

Could you predict when EB3, Row Feb. 9th 2007 will be courrent?

Rav said...

You should be current around May 2012. Good Luck and thank you for liking our website.


Anonymous said...

how about a prediction please on EB3 ROW. PD 1st week Jan 2007?

Many thanks, great website.

Anonymous said...

Dear CM,
first of all thank you very much for the wonderful website you have built with great articles.
can you please predict when can EB2-I january 2009 can be current?

thanks
Vivek

Anonymous said...

Thank you so much for finding time to read our questions and for providing us meaningful answers. =) Let's all be positive and pray for a bigger jump in the coming months.

Good Luck and God bless us all!

Hannahlu

Thun said...

I respect the work you are doing here!! My PD is Feb 7, 2006 EB3 Row...when can I expect to be current. Take care!!

Rav said...

@Vivek I would think somewhere in 2 years or before that depending upon how much dates would progress this fiscal year and number of spillovers EB2-I would receive next year.

Rav said...

@Anonymous Let's hope for the best!!!!

Rav said...

@Thun

EB3-ROW PD Feb 7, 2006 should be current somewhere around Aug-Oct 2011. Cheers and Good Luck.

Anonymous said...

Hi CM;
Thanks for the valuable predictions. Can you please predict the date when EB2-I with date May 2008 will be current? Thanks in advance

Rav said...

I would guess somewhere around July-Sep 2012 for now. But it is too early to say anything. Lets check back around Sep 2011.


Anonymous said...

Hi CM;
Thanks for the valuable predictions. Can you please predict the date when EB2-I with date May 2008 will be current? Thanks in advance

Anonymous said...

@Anonymous

Hi All,

I am new to this site. Lookslike predictions in this site are really really good.

My priority date is Nov 2010 EB2 India. When it will be current..

Anonymous said...

Hi All,

I am new to this site. Lookslike predictions in this site are really really good.

My priority date is Nov 2010 EB2 India. When it will be current..

Rav said...

FOr now I will use thumb rule of 5 years. THings can get worse if EB3 to Eb2 porting will pick up. Good Luck.


Anonymous said...
Hi All,

I am new to this site. Lookslike predictions in this site are really really good.

My priority date is Nov 2010 EB2 India. When it will be current..

Ram said...

hello CM,
thanks a lot for all the info.
my priority date is march 2008 ROW, I 140 aproved in march 2009.
please can you throw in a magic date when you think I would be current? I cannot apply 485 or get EAD until current, is that correct?

awesome forum !

Rav said...

@Ram Hi Ram EB3-ROW March 2008 could be current in March 2013, but we have to go back and analyze applications with PD before July 2007 but could not file I-485 during July 2007. We will be updating our GC calculator soon that will change whole estimation. But March 2013 for now.

Anonymous said...

wooooohhhhhhhhh It's my turn at last! Interview scheduled!!! after waiting in line so long!!! see you all at the Manila Embassy!!!! Yeeeeahhhhhh!!!

Rav said...

Good Luck!!!

Anonymous said...

wooooohhhhhhhhh It's my turn at last! Interview scheduled!!! after waiting in line so long!!! see you all at the Manila Embassy!!!! Yeeeeahhhhhh!!!

Anonymous said...

what EB-3 row is most likely to be current BY SEPT 2012?

janny said...

I doubt it will go backwards, but it isn't likely to move very much in either direction.

http://www.delld610.com/

Anonymous said...

Dear CM:

Thanks for having this page, it's already bookmarked.

My wife and I are for EB3 Mexico dated in April 2008.

When do you predict ours is going to be current?

Thanks in advance!

Rav said...

I would think somewhere around 4 years from today. Good Luck.

Anonymous said...

Dear CM:

Thanks for having this page, it's already bookmarked.

My wife and I are for EB3 Mexico dated in April 2008.

When do you predict ours is going to be current?

Thanks in advance!

Sunny said...

Hello CM your efforts are much appreciated. My PD is July 2007 EB2 India... Do you know when i can get my GC ? And when it will be current so I can apply for my wife as well.

Thank you!

Rav said...

@Sunny July 2007 will be hit or miss for this year. Chances are it will reah July 2007 but may not cross it. We will know more in 4 days based on how July VB will look.

Anonymous said...

Dear CM:

Thanks for having this page, it's already bookmarked.

My wife and I are for EB3 Mexico dated in April 2008.

When do you predict ours is going to be current?

Thanks in advance!

Ram said...

hello CM,
thanks a lot for all the info.
my priority date is march 2008 ROW, I 140 aproved in march 2009.
please can you throw in a magic date when you think I would be current? I cannot apply 485 or get EAD until current, is that correct?

awesome forum !

CM said...

I would guess somewhere around July-Sep 2012 for now. But it is too early to say anything. Lets check back around Sep 2011.


Anonymous said...

Hi CM;
Thanks for the valuable predictions. Can you please predict the date when EB2-I with date May 2008 will be current? Thanks in advance

Anonymous said...

@Anonymous

Hi All,

I am new to this site. Lookslike predictions in this site are really really good.

My priority date is Nov 2010 EB2 India. When it will be current..

Anonymous said...

Thank you so much for finding time to read our questions and for providing us meaningful answers. =) Let's all be positive and pray for a bigger jump in the coming months.

Good Luck and God bless us all!

Hannahlu

Thun said...

I respect the work you are doing here!! My PD is Feb 7, 2006 EB3 Row...when can I expect to be current. Take care!!

Anonymous said...

Thank you God for the appointment. Such a long time to wait and now finally on the way.

Anonymous said...

@hannalu

using the website calculator, you have to wait for 11 more months, good for you, hoping for some changes on the movements, goodluck?

Anonymous said...

hi!

I find this site very interesting, im from the philippines w/ PD January 3, 2007 EB3, when will i be current

thanks

Anonymous said...

have a nice and enjoyable trip!!!!! your prediction for E3Ph for May 2011 VB was really exact. I really enjoyed reading your responses to all questions posted in here. It gives some relief for persons like me who is patiently waiting for my PD to be current.I hope and pray that in coming VB for this year 2011 , E3Ph will jump more than 6 weeks!!!!!!

CM said...

@KK

Please see " EB2 Movement for FY 2011 - Analysis based on May Visa Bulletin"

CM said...

@phxboy

We should target August - Sep 2011 bulletin. Most optimistically July bulletin.

Anonymous said...

Hi, May 2011 bulletin is realesed. What an accurate perdiction CM made. Waiting perdiction for Jun 2011, beleiving the same accuracy again.
Thanks CM helping us in planning the future!

Anonymous said...

I'm current PD july29th 2005 now what should I do?????

AAA said...

CM,

First I would like to appreciate and thank you for taking time in doing the analysis and providing the predictions, your analysis is helping lot of people to plan and make important decisions.

I have a question and request, my PD is Feb 2008 (EB2 India) and I am hoping my date to be current in FY 2012. If it gets current in FY2012, could you predict approximately in which month my PD would be current ?

Thanks
AAA

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