Edited - May, 30 - 2011 for additional information and editorial corrections.Thank you everyone for posting the link to newly released USCIS I-485 Pending Inventory as of June 2011. I have finished analyzing inventory up to some extent. We are glad it was released now since I am continuously working on updating green card calculator. So far until this time some of the highlights of the June 2011 inventory is listed below.
EB2-ROW-M-P
PERM approvals for EB2-ROW-M-P are not converting to I-485 inventory yet. As per released data, demand for EB1 and EB2-ROW-M-P category looks low. EB2-ROW-M-P demand is anywhere from 26,600 to 28,600. EB2-ROW-M-P demand can pick up with more I-140 approvals going forward. Please note AOS demand for concurrently filed I-485/I-140 is not considered in the demand data until approval of I-140. EB2-ROW-M-P will continue to stay current for rest of the year.
EB3-ROW
Significant demand for EB3-ROW is seen due to return of many pre-adjudicated cases from local offices to USCIS processing centers (Please see below a comment made by an astute reader). EB3-ROW demand for PDs beyond August 2005 until December 2005 has increased by 2,500 when compared against January inventory. From January until May 2011, pending inventory until 01 January 2006 has only reduced by 3,500. EB3-ROW will not cross 2005 until December 2011. Total Demand until December 2005 is around 17k.
EB3-India
Total inventory for EB3-India until May 2006 has reduced from 47,087 to 44,682, indicating EB3 to EB2 porting of ONLY 2,400 from January until May 2011. Starting 01 June 2011, USCIS will see post PD June 2006 upgrade demand. We expect this demand to be around another 1500 maximum. Total upgrade demand from EB3 to EB2 for FY 2011 should not be more than 4,500.
EB3-China-Mexico-Philippines
These categories are progressing as expected. We expect them to move as per predictions. Please note EB3-P will be moving with EB3-ROW for rest of the year.
Please note - This analysis is solely based on released inventory.
EB2-ROW-M-P
PERM approvals for EB2-ROW-M-P are not converting to I-485 inventory yet. As per released data, demand for EB1 and EB2-ROW-M-P category looks low. EB2-ROW-M-P demand is anywhere from 26,600 to 28,600. EB2-ROW-M-P demand can pick up with more I-140 approvals going forward. Please note AOS demand for concurrently filed I-485/I-140 is not considered in the demand data until approval of I-140. EB2-ROW-M-P will continue to stay current for rest of the year.
EB3-ROW
Significant demand for EB3-ROW is seen due to return of many pre-adjudicated cases from local offices to USCIS processing centers (Please see below a comment made by an astute reader). EB3-ROW demand for PDs beyond August 2005 until December 2005 has increased by 2,500 when compared against January inventory. From January until May 2011, pending inventory until 01 January 2006 has only reduced by 3,500. EB3-ROW will not cross 2005 until December 2011. Total Demand until December 2005 is around 17k.
"You said: "Significant demand for EB3-ROW is coming from Consulates abroad."
I don't think that can be correct, since the USCIS Inventory does not include those cases.
I would conclude that they are pre-adjudicated cases with a not yet Current PD, returned by the Local Offices to TSC following a successful interview.
They seem mainly concentrated at the end of 2005, so that implies there are a lot more cases with later PDs in 2006 and 2007 still at the LO awaiting interviews."
EB3-India
Total inventory for EB3-India until May 2006 has reduced from 47,087 to 44,682, indicating EB3 to EB2 porting of ONLY 2,400 from January until May 2011. Starting 01 June 2011, USCIS will see post PD June 2006 upgrade demand. We expect this demand to be around another 1500 maximum. Total upgrade demand from EB3 to EB2 for FY 2011 should not be more than 4,500.
EB3-China-Mexico-Philippines
These categories are progressing as expected. We expect them to move as per predictions. Please note EB3-P will be moving with EB3-ROW for rest of the year.
Please note - This analysis is solely based on released inventory.
EB2-India & China
- EB2-ROW-M-P - FY 2011 worst-case (taking into account Jan and June inventory) demand expected is around - 28,600 - On Average Spillover expected is - 6,000
- EB1- FY 2011 worst case demand expected- 21,506 - On Average Spillover expected is - 19k-12k = 7,000
- EB5 - FY 2011 worst case demand expected - 1,880 - On Average Spillover expected is - 8,000
- Porting does not look more than 2,800 until this inventory. Please assume 1,500 maximum spillover for PD post July 2006.
6000 + 7000 + 8000 - 1500 = 19,500 (enough to just reach 15 July 2007)
What to expect?
Anything more than 23,000 spillover means either EB2-IC will get current for small time or at least reach late 2007 as long as NVC has enough pipeline to support the demand . If NVC does not have enough demand then some portion of these visas will be utilized to approve pre-adjudicated cases from EB3-ROW. These numbers have to be used by September 2011 in order to be count these visas for current fiscal year. Again, please note this is solely based on inventory and this can change with how PERM/I-140 approvals will convert into I-485 inventory for EB2-ROW or other EB3 to EB2 Porting demand.
Recommended Action for EB2-IC (Chances are 50%)
Please make sure that the required documents for I-485 filings is upto date for an individual and ready for small window that may open in few months.
Most importantly prepare for long lead items like your birth certificate et al so that they are in place with right name and place of birth.If not then have your notarized affidavits ready from your home country.
Please note though chances are small but if we have more 23,000 unused visa spillover then DOS has to move dates to get unused visa numbers utilized before September 2011. In case large number of unused visa numbers are available, USCIS will not have the capacity to process the entire load, and thus load have to be shared among Consular Posts abroad by advancing dates more than required in August - September 2011 and retrogressing it in October 2011.
If by any chance this demand is not observed by end of this fiscal year, EB2-IC is still expected to move into late 2007 sooner or later in FY 2012.
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91 comments:
Thanks much CM for the quick analysis on the fantastic news -- PK.
Thanks for your analysis. Just wondering if 12k form eb1 is already used, doesn't appear from the inventory data they are used up already?. what about eb4, do we get any spill over from that?.
WOW! This is really good news. Thank you!
CM, I know you are in holiday mood but can you please predict the new cut-off dates for the next 3 VB bulletins individually.
My PD is April 30, 2007, EB2 I.
Thanks again!!!!
@Anonymous
Stop bothering CM. Why do you want him to repeat what he already said in his analysis. learn and understand. No spoonfeeding. I am wondering what you are going to do with your GC?
huh???? maybe you are in a bad mood but dont take it out on other people. If CM/you don't like my question, you always have the option of ignoring it!
Hi CM,
Appreciate your effort in writing the blog despite the long week end.
I am keeping my fingers crossed :), since my PD is so close and I may be current in July 2011.
Come on dude! No fighting on here. Keep it peaceful, we all in the same boat here; riding for the same cause. So lets keep it that way.
Thank you CM, you are putting lot of efforts to make predictions as close as possible. I am sure your blog is going to be more popular than murthy or others very soon.
My PD is Sept2007, EB2-I. Do you think, I should start preparing for I-485, as you said there is a chance to go beyond July2011?
Above, I meant to say July2007.
this movement just for IC ?!!!
any one here tell me whats that means ?
@Anonymous
Yes, it is meant for EB2 India and China.
@Anonymous
Yes, you should keep yourself ready incase the opportunity comes in the coming quarter itself
@gcw07 Thank you for answering queries during this long weekend. I expect you have a good chances of getting current in July or August bulletin. Good Luck.
Can anyone explain me why there is a vacant column in inventory report for EB2-India for the year 2008,2009,2010 and 2011. Infact it is empty since 2007 september ?
Appreciate your response.
Thanks much CM for making additions & corrections. Now that the june 11 inventory data is published, why not the dates be moved to July 15 2007 in july 11 VB for EB2I/C? What are the risks/issues DOS comes across in moving the dates knowing june 11 inventory.
thanks again in advance. PK
@CM, Thank you for the update and predicting the next three VB individually. We highly appreciate it!
God Bless!
@CM
and for EB2/ROW-M-P no movement ? you don't expect any chance for us ?
@Anonymous
@Anon - EB2/ROW is current! What chance do you want?
CM,
You say "Anything more than 23,000 spillover means either EB2-IC will get current..." but as per the chart the combined EB2-IC pending is about 32,000+. Won't the spillover split between IC?
oms
you need to add 12k already released to the 23k. total spillover will be 12 + 23 = 35k > 32k
@Anonymous
eb2 I/C were not current after 2007 july , that is the reason they are empty from sept onwards
no its still 15/4/2003 and no movement since 6 months i wanna a chance .....
to move for at least to last 2003 and the beginning of 2004 :)
what is the meaning of current for VB ?
am sorry its for employment not for family when i hared there is a good news i get blind hhhhhhh .. i wish then you get us ( family based ) some good news in future and am sorry again :)
Thank you CM to take time to publish this blog. I wish your prediction of EB2-I becomes current (50% chance gives high hope to me) comes true. My PD Feb 21 2009. India. If it doesn't become current in Oct 2011, When can I expect?
Hi,
My PD is October 29th 2007. EB2 India. As per the analysis, in Maximum case you said 1st Oct 2007 to C. How come it jumps from Oct 1st 2007 to Current. When it's moving only month by month here. Please explain.
Thanks for your indepth and lucid analysis. I was never tracking my PD. Once i am introduced to your site by a friend, i have become a regular visitor. Thanks once again
CM,
Always enjoy your posts - keep up the good work.
You said: "Significant demand for EB3-ROW is coming from Consulates abroad."
I don't think that can be correct, since the USCIS Inventory does not include those cases.
I would conclude that they are pre-adjudicated cases with a not yet Current PD, returned by the Local Offices to TSC following a successful interview.
They seem mainly concentrated at the end of 2005, so that implies there are a lot more cases with later PDs in 2006 and 2007 still at the LO awaiting interviews.
They seem to be appearing at around 1.1k cases per month, which seems an enormous number.
hi...thnx for all the analysis... I see that people with PD in early 2008 are getting mails from NVC for CP. Can you please throw some light on these emails and how much time will take for NVC to make these PD's current?
CM, Have you considered Chinese demand (3,814 - 2006 and 5,531 - 2007) getting some of these 19,500 spillover numbers? In such case, this is not enough to move India priority date to July 2007?
What are your thoughts?
Hi CM,
I have a question. If the EB2-IC demand is 32k and the spillover is say 23k + 12k(from EB1. Your analysis is equating them. But Each applicant has dependents and I have seen they calculate 2.5 for each primary applicant. Did you consider them?
Based on inventory, I think good portion of 12k is completely used (around 11,000) until 15 October 2006. Inventory is only upto May 2011 though it says June. The number (11k or 12k) used from EB1 to move dates to Oct 2006 for June visa bulletin will only be removed from inventory starting June 01 (tomorrow) as and when these cases are approved.
See my last comment on this EB1 sage
"Based on latest inventory (January at that time)
EB2-India Pending cases until 15 October 2006 = 9345(Sep) + [11092(Oct) - 9345 (Sep)]/2 = 10218
EB2-China Pending cases between 01 Aug 06 - 15 Oct 2006 = 3251 + (3983 - 3251)/2 - 1785 = 1832
Total Pending cases = 10218 + 1832 = 12050
So there goes our 12000 EB1 unused visa numbers.
If we will remove anything from the pending inventory before EB2-India May 2006 assuming that is taken care by 2800 annual quota, numbers used will come down to 10,400.
Comment added later ........
One thing that I neglected earlier is that so far 1765 visa numbers were used by EB2-C until 01 Aug 2006 from it's annual 2800 visa. Now remaining 1045 is still available as spillover that will be used among EB2-IC on FIFO principle going forward.
Or in OTHER words so far 11000 out of 12000 has been used. If we will assume applications from the pending inventory before EB2-India PD May 2006 were taken care by 2800 annual quota, numbers used will come down to 9,365."
Anonymous said...
Thanks for your analysis. Just wondering if 12k form eb1 is already used, doesn't appear from the inventory data they are used up already?. what about eb4, do we get any spill over from that?.
@PK Reason being that DOS is one conservative organization and they will still quote about gauging upgrade from July 2006 - Jan 2007 in July visa bulletin. In month of June when they will not see any upgrade demand, they will move dates aggressively in AUGUST Bulletin.
so we can go with your pesimisstic approach or realistic approach.
-MT
Hello CM, where's your greencard calculator update? we have been waiting this one up to the end of May so we can use it. thanks
@oms
Person who commented below is right. You need to added 12k (~11.3K) that has been used to move dates to 15 Oct 2006 for June bulletin. These 12k consumption will start from tomorrow for approving cases. 23k that we suggested is for rest of the year that is needed to move dates way past July 2007. So total spillover for FY 2011 required to move in late Oct 2007 is 35K far greater than 32K as per new inventory.
@Anonymous- Thank you for your post and efforts.
oms said...
CM,
You say "Anything more than 23,000 spillover means either EB2-IC will get current..." but as per the chart the combined EB2-IC pending is about 32,000+. Won't the spillover split between IC?
oms
Anonymous said...
you need to add 12k already released to the 23k. total spillover will be 12 + 23 = 35k > 32k
Current means everyone with approved PERM under that category can file I-485 (individual or concurrent with I-140).
Anonymous said...
what is the meaning of current for VB ?
If it will not become current then at least in FY 2012 we expect it to move in controlled manner. If moved in controlled manner then it will be FY 2013.
Anonymous said...
Thank you CM to take time to publish this blog. I wish your prediction of EB2-I becomes current (50% chance gives high hope to me) comes true. My PD Feb 21 2009. India. If it doesn't become current in Oct 2011, When can I expect?
@Veerendra Oct 2007 to C totally depends upon strategy that DOS will like to use for coming years. If they think they want to build inventory at one go then they will make it current for a month and retrogress. If they want to move dates in controlled manner then they will advance PDs post July 2007 by 6-8 months increment until inventory last. Former requires one time effort and latter continuous efforts.
OR they can do what they did with FB category, advance it by 2 years and then retrogress.
You are absolutely right, I missed that part when going through inventory analysis. Since this is released by USCIS, it will only consider demand by USCIS and not NVC. I would update my article with this important piece of information.
As you rightly suggested this concludes that these are pre-adjudicated cases which are returned by the Local Offices to USCIS processing centers. Then this may not be a good news for EB3-ROW as inventory might go up as we will keep seeing more of such cases added to inventory from PD post Sep 2005. This may explain slow movement for EB3-ROW for FY 2011.
We really appreciate your keen astute observation. Thanks for sharing.
Anonymous said...
CM,
Always enjoy your posts - keep up the good work.
You said: "Significant demand for EB3-ROW is coming from Consulates abroad."
I don't think that can be correct, since the USCIS Inventory does not include those cases.
I would conclude that they are pre-adjudicated cases with a not yet Current PD, returned by the Local Offices to TSC following a successful interview.
They seem mainly concentrated at the end of 2005, so that implies there are a lot more cases with later PDs in 2006 and 2007 still at the LO awaiting interviews.
They seem to be appearing at around 1.1k cases per month, which seems an enormous number.
@mahesh Usually it takes them 8-9 month but this can change with increase or decrease in demand. Mail sent by NVC is solely based on projected demand.
So while crunching the numbers I have used Jan inventory because I believe Jan inventory is more representative of EB2-IC demand for FY 2011 than October inventory as it considers porting demand as well. Since dates did not move for EB2-IC from October to January, there should be no reduction in demand beyond 08 May 2006.
In any case everything is relative. To reach 15 October 2006 from 08 May 2006, total numbers of visas required by EB2-India and China as per Jan inventory is 13,800. Similarly, to cross July 2007, total number is 35,378.
Total spillover going forward that is required to cross July 2007 is 21,578. IN order to reach 15 July is 21,578-1,730 = 19,848. So with 19,500 you would barely touch 15 July 2007.
In my calculations, I am not considering CP demand. But for EB2-IC, it is usually 5%. But again in my calculation I am assuming 12K is completely used which may not be entirely correct, we may have some 1000 left in there. So CP demand will be ofset by 1000.
Anonymous said...
CM, Have you considered Chinese demand (3,814 - 2006 and 5,531 - 2007) getting some of these 19,500 spillover numbers? In such case, this is not enough to move India priority date to July 2007?
What are your thoughts?
Dependents are already captured in inventory report. Every dependent own his/her I-485.
Anonymous said...
Hi CM,
I have a question. If the EB2-IC demand is 32k and the spillover is say 23k + 12k(from EB1. Your analysis is equating them. But Each applicant has dependents and I have seen they calculate 2.5 for each primary applicant. Did you consider them?
@MT Start with pessimistic for July visa bulletin and then depending upon actual movement decide which is closest.
Frame work and PERM analysis is already done. Now with newly released inventory, I need to add these numbers. Other than this some work on UI and Spillover estimation/optimization for each country category is needed.
Anonymous said...
Hello CM, where's your greencard calculator update? we have been waiting this one up to the end of May so we can use it. thanks
what are the chances for dec 15 2006 this year?.
SRT
Do you think Dec 1 2006 would be current in July bulletin?
@Anonymous,
If you read the blog article and noticed the EB2-IC movement table at the end, it shows 100% chance for Dec2006 to be current.
Anonymous said...
Do you think Dec 1 2006 would be current in July bulletin?
does anyone know the spillover that happened last year and how long uscis took to process those, just wondering any wastage last year
@oms
Do you it is 100% in July Bulletin?
@Anonymous
That isn't my prediction, I am pointing you to what CM already mentioned in that Table. It clearly states for July VB minimum movement is Jan'07 and that covers Dec'06.
My PD Jan 19th 2007,Is there any chance of current jul bulletin?.
Hello!! CM.. My wife priority date is October 21, 2005 under EB3 Phil. it is possible will be current this July visa bulliten?? thanks Choy... thanks. =)
Hello All,
I am sharing here the excel sheet of pending inventory which I collected from all previous reports which may be useful to some of you to understand.
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AuKlWg_crai_dFh5QUlBLWczNmpvYnQ4RnVZNzdQZGc&hl=en_US
Who is CM? In college we had a guy nicknamed CM=Chu.. Mad..great work btw!!
chandra Mouli ?
CM,
You're basically saying that it will take 6 months!!! to clear all of 2005??? If so...that's just crazy!! i hope i'm wrong.
@Anonymous
CM stands for Chief Moderator :)
CM is shy and does not want public light on him now and it will be purely his decision when he comes out with his real name.
In best case scenario what is the duration of this small window that EB2I can be current. Can someone eligible for EB2 can file I140 and I485 concurrently to get EAD at least (with managing the prior PERM and Advt accordingly).
Thanks
No chances are there for PD to be current for EB2-IC in near future
It could be hit or miss. August holds good chances.
Anonymous said...
My PD Jan 19th 2007,Is there any chance of current jul bulletin?.
Not in this months visa bulletin. Either August or September visa bulletin.
Anonymous said...
Hello!! CM.. My wife priority date is October 21, 2005 under EB3 Phil. it is possible will be current this July visa bulliten?? thanks Choy... thanks. =)
@Raj Thank you for sharing the sheet. That will be very helpful for others. I wish I had seen this before I went through the trouble of converting PDFs into Excel sheets. :)
@gcw07 - Lol ... you nailed it.. I am glad you remember that. :)
gcw07 said...
@Anonymous
CM stands for Chief Moderator :)
CM is shy and does not want public light on him now and it will be purely his decision when he comes out with his real name.
Anonymous said...
Who is CM? In college we had a guy nicknamed CM=Chu.. Mad..great work btw!!
Anonymous said...
chandra Mouli ?
Unfortunately yes, inventory has increased by at least 2500 post PD August 05 and many pre-adjudicated cases with a not yet Current PD are continuously returned by the Local Offices to Service centers following a successful interview. There are almost 10,000 cases pending since August 2005 as of now.
Anonymous said...
CM,
You're basically saying that it will take 6 months!!! to clear all of 2005??? If so...that's just crazy!! i hope i'm wrong.
@CM
So technically PDs(ROW) are moving via CY.Hence:-
Jan 2012 would see PDs of 2006
Jan 2013 would see PDs of 2007
Jan 2014 would see PDs of 2008
agree? or am i wrong on this?
@CM
CM,
The UCIS' PDF files and the spreadsheets posted by Raj don't include data post August 2007 for ROW, EB3. Why is that? Is it possible to get that data from some other source?
Thanks for your time and patience.
Merlo
CM,
July'11 Bulletin is out and EB2-IC has moved to March'07. Close to your Max estimate. Does that change your predictions for AUG/SEPT VB?
-AU
July 2011 Visa Bulletin is out... 08 March 2007...keep moving.
Good for you EB2IC...moved for a big one!
Thank you for posting Visa bulletin. Visa bulletin for July 2011 definitely borught good news to some of our loved ones in the family :) . EB2-IC has good future, dates which atleast reach July 2007 for sure and can move as far as October 2007 or first quarter of 2008 or can get current. It totally depends now on August visa bulletin movement because September visa bulletin will be few months and just recalibration.
For EB3 category dates moved as expected. No surprise there. I feel bad for EB3-ROW and P. They are not getting their lion's share.
@CM
CM, you are doing fabulous job to our community. we are all proud of your work.
Hello CM, why is EB3 ROW and P not getting their lion's share as you claim? You mentioned earlier EB3M AND P are getting more than their allocated quota now why is that?
@Merlo PERM data is the only source to get that information. It is available on DOL website.
It may look like this but it all depends upon volume of applications available per month.
Anonymous said...
@CM
So technically PDs(ROW) are moving via CY.Hence:-
Jan 2012 would see PDs of 2006
Jan 2013 would see PDs of 2007
Jan 2014 would see PDs of 2008
agree? or am i wrong on this?
@Merlo PERM data is the only source to get that information. It is available on DOL website.
Thank you for posting Visa bulletin. Visa bulletin for July 2011 definitely borught good news to some of our loved ones in the family :) . EB2-IC has good future, dates which atleast reach July 2007 for sure and can move as far as October 2007 or first quarter of 2008 or can get current. It totally depends now on August visa bulletin movement because September visa bulletin will be few months and just recalibration.
For EB3 category dates moved as expected. No surprise there. I feel bad for EB3-ROW and P. They are not getting their lion's share.
chandra Mouli ?
My PD Jan 19th 2007,Is there any chance of current jul bulletin?.
You are absolutely right, I missed that part when going through inventory analysis. Since this is released by USCIS, it will only consider demand by USCIS and not NVC. I would update my article with this important piece of information.
As you rightly suggested this concludes that these are pre-adjudicated cases which are returned by the Local Offices to USCIS processing centers. Then this may not be a good news for EB3-ROW as inventory might go up as we will keep seeing more of such cases added to inventory from PD post Sep 2005. This may explain slow movement for EB3-ROW for FY 2011.
We really appreciate your keen astute observation. Thanks for sharing.
Anonymous said...
CM,
Always enjoy your posts - keep up the good work.
You said: "Significant demand for EB3-ROW is coming from Consulates abroad."
I don't think that can be correct, since the USCIS Inventory does not include those cases.
I would conclude that they are pre-adjudicated cases with a not yet Current PD, returned by the Local Offices to TSC following a successful interview.
They seem mainly concentrated at the end of 2005, so that implies there are a lot more cases with later PDs in 2006 and 2007 still at the LO awaiting interviews.
They seem to be appearing at around 1.1k cases per month, which seems an enormous number.
@Veerendra Oct 2007 to C totally depends upon strategy that DOS will like to use for coming years. If they think they want to build inventory at one go then they will make it current for a month and retrogress. If they want to move dates in controlled manner then they will advance PDs post July 2007 by 6-8 months increment until inventory last. Former requires one time effort and latter continuous efforts.
OR they can do what they did with FB category, advance it by 2 years and then retrogress.
Hello CM, where's your greencard calculator update? we have been waiting this one up to the end of May so we can use it. thanks
Based on inventory, I think good portion of 12k is completely used (around 11,000) until 15 October 2006. Inventory is only upto May 2011 though it says June. The number (11k or 12k) used from EB1 to move dates to Oct 2006 for June visa bulletin will only be removed from inventory starting June 01 (tomorrow) as and when these cases are approved.
See my last comment on this EB1 sage
"Based on latest inventory (January at that time)
EB2-India Pending cases until 15 October 2006 = 9345(Sep) + [11092(Oct) - 9345 (Sep)]/2 = 10218
EB2-China Pending cases between 01 Aug 06 - 15 Oct 2006 = 3251 + (3983 - 3251)/2 - 1785 = 1832
Total Pending cases = 10218 + 1832 = 12050
So there goes our 12000 EB1 unused visa numbers.
If we will remove anything from the pending inventory before EB2-India May 2006 assuming that is taken care by 2800 annual quota, numbers used will come down to 10,400.
Comment added later ........
One thing that I neglected earlier is that so far 1765 visa numbers were used by EB2-C until 01 Aug 2006 from it's annual 2800 visa. Now remaining 1045 is still available as spillover that will be used among EB2-IC on FIFO principle going forward.
Or in OTHER words so far 11000 out of 12000 has been used. If we will assume applications from the pending inventory before EB2-India PD May 2006 were taken care by 2800 annual quota, numbers used will come down to 9,365."
Anonymous said...
Thanks for your analysis. Just wondering if 12k form eb1 is already used, doesn't appear from the inventory data they are used up already?. what about eb4, do we get any spill over from that?.
hi...thnx for all the analysis... I see that people with PD in early 2008 are getting mails from NVC for CP. Can you please throw some light on these emails and how much time will take for NVC to make these PD's current?
you need to add 12k already released to the 23k. total spillover will be 12 + 23 = 35k > 32k
@gcw07 Thank you for answering queries during this long weekend. I expect you have a good chances of getting current in July or August bulletin. Good Luck.
Thanks for your analysis. Just wondering if 12k form eb1 is already used, doesn't appear from the inventory data they are used up already?. what about eb4, do we get any spill over from that?.
Eb3-M and P usually get more than their allocated visa just to reach 7% consumption of annual total visas (EB +FB). Since EB2 for these countries are current, these numbers are made by giving visa numbers to EB3. Usualy this si done by taking numbers from EB3-ROW. Since this year EB3-P has reached closed to EB3-ROW, it is fairly justified to not give such numbers to EB3-P, but since EB3-M is still far behind- EB3-ROW-P, it is getting visas from EB3-ROW for current FY 2011.
Thank you for your support.
Dear CM - My EB2 PD is oct 10, 2007, when can I expect my date will be curretn... Thanks a lot for your help and guidance.
I am hoping for this fiscal year but who knows. we will know by next month's bulletin.
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