Visa Bulletin – March 2024

March Visa Bulletin for the FY 2024 was released few days. Here are key insights and updates to it with some predictions.

How to use Demand Data to calculate EB3 to EB2 Porting?

As per visa allocation each year under each category, USCIS/DOL should use 233 visas every month for EB2-India. Normally this should reduce demand by 233 every month. Since we are not seeing any reduction in demand data, it suggests that there are many individuals who are upgrading their case from EB3 to EB2. So what is the rate at which EB3 to EB2 porting is happening? Simple Calculations that could be used to estimate this is ...

EB3 to EB2 Porting with same employer: Not a good idea

These days it is been topic of the town for Indian nationals to port their priority date from EB3 to EB2 category. So far this totally makes sense. This could tremendously reduce the wait time for an individual to receive a green card. But an individual and his employer should be very careful while taking this step if they are planning to port the case with a same (current) employer. There are rumors that many employers are upgrading their employees’ petition from EB3 to EB2 category just to retain their employees.

I-485 Case Tracker for PDs 'Current'

We have released new I-485 case tracker for cases that are 'Current' today. Please use this tracker to enter details of your application and case status. Please fill in as much details as possible and edit the tracker as and when you will get more information on your application status. Use this tracker to see if PDs that has recently became current are getting approved

January 2012 I-485 Pending Inventory - EB Category Visa Use

USCIS released I-485 pending inventory upto 12 January 2012. Please note this inventory is only for Service Centers and Field Offices, and does not contain consular processing cases. Dependents are included. Here is a summary of the I-485 inventory when compared to October 2011 Inventory. This inventory is used to estimate the visa use during Q1 of FY 2012 and Projected Demand for FY 2012.Please note that one fallacy to using inventory to estimate demand is that it will not consider cases approved in less than 90 days.

EB Category Roll-Over and PWMB Demand: I-485 Receipt Data

We analyzed I-485 Approvals and Receipts for FY 2011 to estimate carry-over demand from FY 2011 in EB category. We also used this data in conjunction with USCIS I-485 Performance data and I-485 representative filings from June to September 2011 at trackitt to estimate People Who Missed the Boat (PWMB) demand for EB2-IC upto September 2011 that may start consuming visa numbers from FY 2012 annual allocation and/or spillover.

Prediction for EB2 Category for FY 2012

Here is the Prediction for EB2 Category cutoff date retrogression for Fiscal Year 2012. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below) which is done based on available data i.e. PERM data published by DOL, I-485 Inventory data, latest trend on Trackitt for EB1 & EB2 cases and other published data by USCIS. Demand data for each dependent category is predicted and explained in calculations below. This data is further used to calculate spillover that would be available for EB2 category. Retrogression is estimated based on visa allotment available each year for each country and total spillover that is expected in FY 2012. In each case, Optimistic, Realistic and Worst-Case scenario is estimated.

Green Card Calculator - Employment Based

As per recent demand data released until September 01, 2011 on EB I-485 inventory, here is the 'Green Card' calculator for Employment- Based category that tells an individual how many I-485 applicants are there before them in the queue under their filed preference category. Beyond this, calculations are extended to predict how many years will it take an individual to receive a green card. In addition, you can put an assumption for a spillover that your category and country would receive every year and see how this changes the scenario.

What to do once Priority Date (PD) becomes current?

A very commonly asked question by fellow petitioners is the step by step process that they should follow after an individual’s Priority date will become current. Please read this article to check on next steps and required I-485 documents.

I-485 Primary & Secondary Evidence - Country Specific

Commonly asked question is what to do when primary evidence of birth, marriage, divorce etc is not available. Here is the country specific I-485 Required documents for (AOS) or (CP). Immigration officers or Adjudicators are asked to refer to the list below before making any decision on RFE or NOID in case primary evidence is not submitted or established. Please select your country from the drop-down list to see specific secondary evidence and documents.

EB2-India & China I-140 Demand (Yearly) based on DHS Released Report

DHS on 29th December 2011 released a Citizenship and Immigration Services Ombudsman's recommendation to improve the quality in Extraordinary Ability and Other Employment based petition adjudication document. We used this data to deduce I-140 demand for EB2-India and China.

EB2-IC Movements FY 2012 - Mr. Oppenheim's thinking?

We looked into if there is any analytical correlation between movements that Mr. Oppenheim did last year for Family Based Category (F2A) and current movement that we saw with EB2-India and China for Employment Based Category. Is there any correlation or equation or factor that can determine how Mr. Oppenheim would think in absence of demand or visible demand in case number of filings that he is receiving or available adjudicated case cases are less? That is when we started digging into this.

AC21 Portability - FAQs and Sample Letters to USCIS

Some people suggests that sending letter to USCIS on job change after invoking AC-21 portability is not required. But this is a gray area, and no one knows it better if USCIS should be informed when individual would invoke an AC-21 portability to change job once applicant's I-485 is pending for more than 180 days with USCIS.

Understanding Section 245(k) to use it for Derivative applicants after Primary’s I-485 approval

Common question asked by many primary I-485 applicants who had previously filed I-485 Adjustment of Status (AOS) application, which is still pending with USCIS, is about adding their spouses or children (derivatives) to their pending I-485 application. At this point there is always a concern among the petitioner that their case will be approved before their derivatives application

July 2012 Visa Bulletin Predictions - EB Category

Here is the prediction for July 2012 Visa Bulletin. We should see following movements in each category as long as USCIS/DOL would use visa numbers as per statutory allocations.

EB2 India & China - What to expect in FY 2012?

Cut-Off Dates has reached PD 15th April 2007 for EB2-India and China for FY 2011 in September bulletin, now what can we expect for FY 2012?. We have some analysis to estimate movement in FY 2012. This is very rudimentary as of now and can change as FY 2012 will progress.

EB3 ROW-Mexico-Philippines - What to expect in FY 2012?

For FY 2012, EB3-ROW-M-P is expected to move together similar to the movement that was seen for FY 2011. Based on available I-485 inventory, last released demand data, and hidden demand (or Consular Processing demand) that was observed in FY 2011, total EB3-M-P demand until ....

How to know if old I-140 has been revoked by previous employer?

If an individual filing a green card under employment-based category has changed job and now planning to port priority date from previous filed Labor certification, he/she will at least need an approved I-140 from previous employer to recapture priority dates. This I-140 should not be revoked and still active.

Understanding Visa Bulletin Cut-Off Date Determination

The State Department (DOS) is responsible for the allocation of numerically limited immigrant visa numbers under the authority granted by section 203 of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA). These visa numbers are allocated based on congressionally mandated preferences that assign an overall total, limits for each category and per country limits within each category. Here is a quick Memo on the steps involved.

'Hard' vs 'Soft' LUD - How to use it to track your case status with USCIS?

If you heard people talking about keeping track of 'Soft' and 'Hard' LUDs on forums and other websites, and wondered what it is, now you can understand what is LUDs and how you can use them to track any activity on your petition that is pending with USCIS.

How to Obtain an Emergency Advance Parole (AP) Document?

If your current status is Adjustment of Status (AOS) Pending and you are currently working on EAD, it is very important that you renew your Advance Parole (AP) document in timely manner, well in advance. If an individual leaves a country under AOS pending status with their AP application pending or AP document due expire when they are traveling outside of country, they will abandon their status in United Status. Subsequently their I-485 application will be denied.

People Who Missed the Boat (PWMB) during July 2007

Question was asked in the comment section that how would applications with Priority date before July 2007 who could not file in July 2007 would affect EB2-IC movement for FY 2011. These people are commonly referred as "People Who Missed the Boat (PWMB)" by some people. We earlier thought that these numbers will small percentage of the whole group. But careful analysis of PERM data suggests that these numbers are significant when you will include primary + dependents (assuming a family would consume 2.5 visas) applications.

EB3 to EB2 Porting Calculations - Part III

We have a poll on EB3 to EB2 Porting which is up since last week of February 2011, and till-date we have received '445' votes. Results has been consistent through out the poll for the last two months. It suggests that the general trend or distribution of individuals with different PD that are porting has not changed from day to day regardless of number of votes received.We are convinced that this will be a general trend for rest of the current year regardless of porting numbers. Calculations are further extended to extrapolate real world numbers.

H1B FY 2012 CAP Count & Predictions

As per recent release by USCIS, regular cap has utilized till date 11,200 visas and Masters quota has utilized 7,900 visas as of 13th May 2011. It is interesting to see that H1B visa under Master Cap has utilized more than 35% of the quota. As of now number of petitions increased from last week is 1,600. Based on past months trend, regular cap can reach by 27th January 2012 and Masters Cap by 30 September 2011.

H1B FY 2012 : List of Disqualified Employers

H1B FY 2012 season will be here soon. It is advisable that the prospective aspirants for H1B FY 2012 should be aware of the debarred or disqualified employer for this season. Please make sure you do not become a bait to any of these employers for your H1B filing. These employers are willful violator employer and are black-listed.

PERM Processing Time Starts to Slump

DOL recently released current PERM processing times. It looks like fire-sale is almost over and PERM processing time will again start creeping towards 1-2 months wait or more in coming months. 5 days approval will be a history. Temporary Government shutdown is still not in effect and this will delay the processing time further when some decision about it will be made during April 8, 2011. The Senate votes to fund the federal government through April 8. But the stalemate over 2011 spending remains, and no one wants to pass another short-term stopgap. Is the stage now set for a government shutdown next month is yet to be known.

Document on Tax Exemption for OPT Students and Students on F1B visa

Document or proof stating that OPT students are not required to pay Social Security Taxes and Medicare tax. You can share this with your employer

What is H1B 'CAP Exempt' visa?

Most of the international students after graduation would focus their attention to find a job in corporate world. But it is always difficult to find an employer who will be ready to sponsor your H1B visa. If you are lucky, you may find an employer who is willing to sponsor your work visa, but could not do it because quota is not available at that time or if quota is open, is worried that he may have to wait until start of fiscal year in October before you could begin working for him. What are other options in such case? Well in this case, you can opt for working for organizations that are exempted from H1B visa regular cap quota.

Thursday, January 13, 2011

Priority Date - How to recapture from previously filed petition ?

Posted On Thursday, January 13, 2011 by Rav 0 comments

Generally speaking, the filing date of the visa petition determines the priority date of the alien beneficiary, and his or her place on the waiting list for an immigrant visa.

Employment Based

Immigrant workers being sponsored for labor certifications or PERM are an exception to above rule; the labor certification filing date with the Department of Labor controls as the priority date.

In the context of employment-based immigration, visa petitions filed under the EB-1, EB-2, or EB-3 categories are entitled to the earliest priority date where a subsequent immigrant visa petition (usually I-140) in any of these categories is submitted and approved, unless the prior petition was revoked due to fraud. However, these priority dates are not transferable to the EB-4 or EB-5 categories, or family-sponsored visa petitions.

Once immigrant petition for alien has been approved, he or she can move to new employment. In order to recapture previous priority date, alien has to start their green card process again with his employer. This involves submission of new PERM for new job to DOL. Once PERM is approved, request to capture previous priority date can be sent to USCIS when filing for new I-140 or during filing I-485. Please note, you will need an approved I-140 to recapture priority date. Old PERM approval is not sufficient. Proof of previously approved I-140 could be send to USCIS in form of copy of approval notice, copy of receipt notice or image capture of approval of case on USCIS website.


Family Based

Recapturing an earlier priority date for a subsequent family-based visa petition is more complicated. Here’s a brief overview of the U.S. family-based immigration system: immediate relative (spouse or unmarried child under 21 years old of U.S. citizen); 1st preference (unmarried child over 21 years old of U.S. citizen); 2nd preference (F2A – spouse and unmarried child under 21 years old of permanent resident, and F2B – unmarried child over 21 years old of permanent resident); 3rd preference (married child of U.S. citizen); and 4th preference (brother or sister of U.S. citizen). It is important to note that there is no category for married children of permanent residents.

Regulations implementing U.S. immigration law provide specifically when priority dates can be recaptured for a family petition. Generally speaking, a beneficiary can recapture an earlier priority date if the petitioner and the beneficiary are the same, the petitioner is filing in the same preference category, and the prior I-130 visa petition was not terminated or revoked. For example, if an unmarried child of a U.S. citizen over the age of 21 years old (1st preference category) marries while the petition is pending, then the beneficiary is automatically converted to the 3rd preference category but they will keep the original priority date. However, if an unmarried child of a permanent resident (2nd preference) marries while the petition is pending, then the petition is automatically revoked as a matter of law because no category exists for permanent residents to petition married children. Any subsequent petition that the permanent resident parent files on that child’s behalf (such as a 3rd preference visa when the parent becomes a U.S. citizen) will entail a new filing (priority) date.

Another complicated situation where priority dates can be recaptured involves the children of unmarried sons or daughters who are the principal beneficiaries of their parents’ petitions filed in the 2nd preference category. If these children (derivative beneficiaries) turn 21 years old, they lose their derivative status and move from the F2A category to F2B. Moreover, the children will require a new immigrant visa petition filed on their behalf. Fortunately, these derivative beneficiaries who “aged-out” will be able to retain the original priority date of their initial petition.

Priority dates directly determine when an individual can immigrate to the United States or adjust their status to permanent residency. As you can see, attempting to recapture an earlier priority date to ensure more timely immigration can be complex. Individuals seeking assistance with recapturing a priority date from a prior petition should consult with knowledgeable and experienced immigration attorneys.


Visa Bulletin - February 2011

Posted On Thursday, January 13, 2011 by Rav 0 comments

February 2011 Visa Bulletin was released on 12th January 2011. As predicted there was no major movement for employment based category. EB-2 China progressed by 8 days into July 2006. EB-2 India is still standstill. Major movement for the EB-2 employment based category for India and China will be seen in month of June-July 2011, only when unused visa numbers will be available due to spillover from EB2- ROW and EB-1 . Until then one should expect small or no movement in EB-2 category. Eb-3 movement was observed for India and China. This will still progress at snail pace for rest of the year. Family Based category will see retrogression for rest of the year.

Family Based :

As per February Visa Bulletin, family categories had seen as much of the advancement of the last two years has been reversed with major retrogression.

RETROGRESSION OF FAMILY CUT-OFF DATES

Continued heavy applicant demand for numbers in the Family Fourth preference category has required the retrogression of the Worldwide, China-mainland born, Dominican Republic, and India cut-off date for the month of February.

It has also been necessary to retrogress the Dominican Republic F2B category for the month of February.

Further retrogressions cannot be ruled out should demand continue at the current levels for some categories and countries.

Please Note: Applicants entitled to immigrant status become documentarily qualified at their own initiative and convenience. By no means has every applicant with a priority date earlier than a prevailing cut-off date been processed for final visa action. On the contrary, visa allotments are made only on the basis of the total applicants reported documentarily qualified each month, compared with the amount of available numbers. For example, during the past month, over 17,300 of the applicants who have become documentarily qualified in the Family preference categories have priority dates earlier than the cut-off dates established for January. Demand for visa numbers can fluctuate from one month to another, with the inevitable impact on cut-off dates.



Employment Based :

Employment 1st - still current in all categories.

Employment 2nd - weak movement for India and China; just a one week improvement for China (01 Jul 2006) and stalled again for India (8 May 2006).

Employment 3rd - modest movement; 8 days advance for most countries to 01 April 2005; two week advance for China to 01 Jan 2004; India moves up two week to 22 February 2002. Mexico jumps 2 months to 08 July 2003 and the Philippines jumps by 8 days to 01 April 2005.

Employment 3rd Other Workers – most countries moved by one week at 01 May 2003; India moves up 22 February 2002; Mexico jumps to 01 May 2003.

Employment 4th - still current in all categories.

Employment 5th - still current in all categories.




Monday, January 10, 2011

H1B FY 2011 Cap Count - 7th Jan 2011

Posted On Monday, January 10, 2011 by Rav 0 comments

As per recent release by USCIS, regular cap has utilized till date 58,700 visas. As per American Immigration Lawyer Association (AILA), USCIS has 6,350 H-1B Singapore and Chile unused numbers from FY 2010. The readers should remember that available visa numbers for regular cap cases is not 65,000. Not all H-1B visa are subject to this annual cap. Please note that up to 6,800 visas may be set aside from the cap of 65,000 during each fiscal year for the H-1B1 program under the terms of the legislation implementing the U.S.-Chile and U.S.-Singapore Free Trade Agreements. Unused numbers in this pool are made available for H-1B use for the next fiscal year. From last year we still have these 6,350 unused visa numbers. Taking this into account, H1B Cap for FY 2011 will not be reached until regular cap has utilized around 64,350 total visas under regular cap. Just to remind our readers, all application submitted under Masters Cap will be counted towards regular cap.


Friday, January 7, 2011

How to contact USCIS National Customer Service Center ?

Posted On Friday, January 07, 2011 by Rav 0 comments

Yesterday USCIS released guide on the services provided by USCIS. This is a quick cheat sheet for anyone who is trying to get in contact with USCIS Customer Representative regarding recently filed cases, queries or any discrepancy in their receipt or approval notice. This Customer Service Reference Guide provides information on the services provided by USCIS. This guide is a duplicate of the information used by the representatives at the National Customer Service Center to answer calls on our toll free numbers.

For information about a particular immigration benefit or service, please select the appropriate topic on the menu below. USCIS encourages petitioners to go through this information before calling National Service Center. This is the comprehensive information that is available online. Individual should bookmark this page for future reference.




Source : USCIS Customer Service Guide